Edenred Gains +4% After Italian Setback Earlier This Week
Edenred's stock shows a marked rebound this Tuesday, March 31, climbing 4.04% to 16.88 euros during the session, after closing at 16.23 euros the previous day. This surge occurs as the CAC 40 gains 0.70% during the session, reaching 7,826.63 points. However, today's rise does not offset the 6.79% decline recorded over the past seven days.
This Tuesday, Edenred's stock price is significantly above its support level at 15.39 euros, a short-term technical floor. The stock, which had been penalized by the opening of an investigation by the Italian competition authority last week, remains far from its 50-day moving average, set at 18.07 euros, indicating that the underlying bearish trend is not reversed by today's rebound. The RSI, at 37, is close to the oversold zone (below 30), reflecting persistent selling pressure over recent weeks. Over one year, the stock has declined by 45.55%, and the three-month performance is at -10.05%. The current price is well below the 200-day moving average (21.31 euros), confirming a significant distance from historical valuation levels. The nearest resistance is at 19.74 euros, nearly 17% above the current level.
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The group specialized in specific-use payment solutions, such as Meal Vouchers, is set to publish its first-quarter revenue on April 23. This announcement will be closely watched by market participants to gauge Edenred's business momentum in a high-volatility environment, with the VIX closing last Friday at 31.05 points, indicating significant market stress. The 2026 general assembly, scheduled for May 7, will be another important event for shareholders. The stock's low beta (0.23) also indicates limited sensitivity to general market fluctuations, which puts the day's bullish movement into perspective in a CAC 40 that is itself on the rise. On the SBF 120, which is up 0.75% in the session, other stocks are also showing notable rebounds, like Capgemini, which is up 3.55%.
SectorTickets restaurants›Services de traitement des transactions
Context
Period
Period: 3T 2025
Guidance from the release
Edenred confirme la solidité de son modèle économique et réaffirme ses objectifs 2025, visant au moins 10 % de croissance organique de l’EBITDA et un taux de conversion Free-cash-flow/EBITDA supérieur à 70 %.
Croissance organique accélérée au T3 2025 (+8,2 % chiffre d’affaires opérationnel) portée par toutes les lignes de métier, forte dynamique en Amérique latine et amélioration en Europe; Mobilité en croissance à deux chiffres; Solutions complémentaires en repli. Effets de change négatifs et impact réglementaire en Italie (plafonnement commissions) anticipés.
Risks mentioned
Impact négatif attendu de 60 millions d’euros d’EBITDA lié au plafonnement des commissions marchands en Italie
Effets de change défavorables (dépréciation des devises en Amérique latine, notamment réal brésilien et peso mexicain)
Environnement macroéconomique incertain pouvant affecter la consommation et la demande
Opportunities identified
Hausses des valeurs faciales des titres-restaurant dans plusieurs pays (ex. Belgique +25% à partir du 1er janvier 2026) soutenant la croissance organique
Partenariats stratégiques (Visa, Esso, grand distributeur de carburant) renforçant l’offre et l’accès au marché
Déploiement des solutions Beyond Food et Beyond Fuel et conquête du segment PME encore sous-pénétré
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