Safran Shares Bounce 2.83% After Nearly 10% Decline Over the Week
This Thursday afternoon, Safran is showing one of the strongest gains in the CAC 40, driven by the publication of its first quarter 2026 results. The stock is trading at €280.20, up 2.83% from the previous close, in a Parisian market that is also on the rise, with the CAC 40 up 0.74% during the session.
Today's rebound comes after a challenging period for Safran, with the stock price having fallen by 9.26% over the past seven days. The stock remains significantly below its recent levels: it is trading well below its 50-day moving average (€310.99) and 200-day moving average (€299.83), indicating a still-present bearish trend in the medium term. The RSI, at 39, confirms this selling pressure without, however, indicating an extreme oversold situation. The price is moving in the lower part of the Bollinger Bands, at 27% of the total amplitude between the lower bound (€263.33) and the upper bound (€326.60). The technical support at €272.50 played its role during the previous session, with the price having exactly rebounded from this level. The most significant resistance lies at €321.00, more than 14% above the current price. This technical context explains the strength of today's bullish reaction, as the stock attempts to move away from a tension zone.
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Today's momentum coincides with a notable adjustment by analysts. Yesterday, Jefferies changed its recommendation on the stock from 'buy' to 'hold', while lowering its price target from €350 to €310. However, this new target is still nearly 10.6% above the current price, which still suggests potential appreciation, according to the American bank. This downgrade comes in a context where Safran's stock has lost 8.43% over three months, despite a solid annual performance of +30.69%. The publication of the first quarter 2026 results, scheduled for today in the group's financial calendar, is a key catalyst for the current session. Upcoming milestones to watch include the general meeting scheduled for May 21 and the semi-annual results expected on July 28. In terms of European comparables, Airbus is up 0.75% in the session, while Schneider Electric is down 0.33%.
"2025 a été une année remarquable pour nos activités, portées par un trafic passagers record et une dynamique soutenue dans la défense."
Safran publie des résultats annuels 2025 solides: chiffre d'affaires consolidé de 31,189 milliards d'euros (+12,5 % YoY), résultat opérationnel courant consolidé de 4,787 milliards d'euros (+14,4 %), EBITDA de 6,318 milliards d'euros, cash-flow libre de 3,921 milliards d'euros; perspectives 2026: CA attendu en hausse de 12-15 %, COI entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et FCF entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, ambi tions 2028 relevées.
Risks mentioned
Capacités de production de la chaîne d’approvisionnement
Opportunities identified
Croissance soutenue des activités d’après-vente et défense
Livraisons et contenu des services liés au LEAP et à l’aéronautique civile
Dynamique du trafic aérien favorable et extension des commandes dans la défense
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Le chiffre d'affaires 2026 est attendu entre 12 % et 15 % de hausse par rapport à l'année 2025.
Expected EBITDA: EBITDA 2026 attendu entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros.
Management commentary: Pour 2026, Safran prévoit une croissance du chiffre d'affaires entre 12 % et 15 %, un résultat opérationnel courant entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et un flux de trésorerie libre entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, sous réserve de l'exécution des livraisons et du calendrier de paiement des États clients.
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