Safran Shares Climb 10% in a Week, Nearing Overbought Territory
Safran has risen 2.29% to €317.20 this Tuesday, bringing its weekly gain to over 10%. The stock is trading at the higher end of its technical range as two banks have just published new recommendations on the aerospace group.
The session is marked by the convergence of two analyst notes. BNP Paribas Exane initiated coverage of Safran this Tuesday with a neutral rating and a target price of €330, representing a potential upside of about 4% from the current price. The day before, Barclays had lowered its target from €340 to €330 while maintaining its overweight recommendation. These two identical targets form a short-term consensus around this level. These publications come nine days before the presentation of the first quarter 2026 results, scheduled for April 23. The general meeting is scheduled for May 21. Over one year, Safran's stock has shown a performance of nearly 55%, significantly outperforming the CAC 40, which is up 0.85% in the session to 8,306 points.
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Technically, the price of €317.20 is at 92% of the amplitude of the Bollinger Bands, very close to the upper boundary set at €321.64. This positioning indicates a potential overbought zone which generally calls for caution, even though the RSI at 56 does not yet indicate excessive tension. The stock has also crossed back above its 50-day moving average (€311.51), after testing it in recent weeks, confirming a short-term bullish momentum. The major technical resistance is identified at €340, a level that coincides with Barclays' former target. The support is at €274.40, well below the 200-day moving average (€298.82). Elsewhere in the European sector, Airbus is up 1.67% in the session.
"2025 a été une année remarquable pour nos activités, portées par un trafic passagers record et une dynamique soutenue dans la défense."
Safran publie des résultats annuels 2025 solides: chiffre d'affaires consolidé de 31,189 milliards d'euros (+12,5 % YoY), résultat opérationnel courant consolidé de 4,787 milliards d'euros (+14,4 %), EBITDA de 6,318 milliards d'euros, cash-flow libre de 3,921 milliards d'euros; perspectives 2026: CA attendu en hausse de 12-15 %, COI entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et FCF entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, ambi tions 2028 relevées.
Risks mentioned
Capacités de production de la chaîne d’approvisionnement
Opportunities identified
Croissance soutenue des activités d’après-vente et défense
Livraisons et contenu des services liés au LEAP et à l’aéronautique civile
Dynamique du trafic aérien favorable et extension des commandes dans la défense
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Le chiffre d'affaires 2026 est attendu entre 12 % et 15 % de hausse par rapport à l'année 2025.
Expected EBITDA: EBITDA 2026 attendu entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros.
Management commentary: Pour 2026, Safran prévoit une croissance du chiffre d'affaires entre 12 % et 15 %, un résultat opérationnel courant entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et un flux de trésorerie libre entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, sous réserve de l'exécution des livraisons et du calendrier de paiement des États clients.
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
