Safran Shares Drop 9% in a Week, Breaking Key Technical Threshold
Safran shares significantly retreated this Monday midday, falling 2.8% to 308.80 euros, amidst a generalized downturn in European markets. The aerospace equipment manufacturer's stock has now declined over 9% in the last seven trading days, erasing a significant portion of its gains accumulated over the year.
Safran shares are trading at 308.80 euros mid-session, down 2.8% from Friday's close at 317.70 euros. This drop extends a negative streak that began last week, with the stock having lost 9.18% over the past seven days. Over three months, however, the performance is still slightly positive at +4.68%, and the year-on-year gain remains substantial at +23.13%. This movement occurs in an unfavorable market context. During the session, the CAC 40 is down 1.98% at 7,835 points, while the DAX has lost 1.59%. The Nikkei 225, at today's close, plunged by 5.20%, and the Hang Seng finished down by 1.35%. The VIX index, a barometer of implied volatility in the United States, showed a jump of 12.29% in its last quote (Thursday, March 5) at 23.75 points, indicating increased nervousness in global markets.
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From a technical standpoint, Safran's share price has now fallen below its 50-day moving average, set at 317.97 euros, which signals short-term vulnerability. This bearish crossover occurs while the stock is still above its 200-day moving average (294.50 euros), a level that remains a medium-term base. The RSI, a momentum indicator, is at 36, indicating a low zone, though not yet crossing into oversold territory set at 30. This reflects a clearly negative momentum, although a technical rebound is not ruled out near the support identified at 298.60 euros. The next financial milestone for Safran is set for April 23, the date for the publication of the first quarter 2026 results, followed by the annual general meeting scheduled for May 21.
"2025 a été une année remarquable pour nos activités, portées par un trafic passagers record et une dynamique soutenue dans la défense."
Safran publie des résultats annuels 2025 solides: chiffre d'affaires consolidé de 31,189 milliards d'euros (+12,5 % YoY), résultat opérationnel courant consolidé de 4,787 milliards d'euros (+14,4 %), EBITDA de 6,318 milliards d'euros, cash-flow libre de 3,921 milliards d'euros; perspectives 2026: CA attendu en hausse de 12-15 %, COI entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et FCF entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, ambi tions 2028 relevées.
Risks mentioned
Capacités de production de la chaîne d’approvisionnement
Opportunities identified
Croissance soutenue des activités d’après-vente et défense
Livraisons et contenu des services liés au LEAP et à l’aéronautique civile
Dynamique du trafic aérien favorable et extension des commandes dans la défense
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Le chiffre d'affaires 2026 est attendu entre 12 % et 15 % de hausse par rapport à l'année 2025.
Expected EBITDA: EBITDA 2026 attendu entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros.
Management commentary: Pour 2026, Safran prévoit une croissance du chiffre d'affaires entre 12 % et 15 %, un résultat opérationnel courant entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et un flux de trésorerie libre entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, sous réserve de l'exécution des livraisons et du calendrier de paiement des États clients.
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