Safran Shares Hit Key Support After an 8% Decline Over a Week
On Tuesday, Safran's stock price fell by 1.91% to 281.80 euros in a slightly declining Parisian market. The aerospace equipment manufacturer has now dropped more than 8% over the past seven days, reaching a sensitive technical area. Meanwhile, the CAC 40 index fell by 0.40% to 7,695.46 points during the session.
Safran's stock price is now very close to its support threshold at 281.60 euros, which could represent a short-term technical floor. The stock is trading significantly below its 50-day moving average (317.28 euros), indicating a clear downward trend in recent weeks. The more than 12% gap between the current price and this moving average highlights the extent of the recent correction. The RSI, at 33, is approaching the oversold zone, usually set below the 30 threshold: this momentum indicator suggests that selling pressure is strong, although a reversal signal has not yet been confirmed. This downward movement is part of an unfavorable sectoral dynamic this Tuesday: Airbus is down 2.25% and Schneider Electric has lost 2.14% during the session. The Parisian industrial sector is undergoing a generalized correction in a context of high market volatility, with the VIX reaching 26.78 points in its last reading.
Recent Decline Contrasts with Yearly Performance
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Safran's 6.19% decline over three months contrasts with its still positive performance over a year, at 12.54%. The slide has accelerated in recent sessions, with the stock losing more than 8% in a week. The previous day's closing was at 287.30 euros, and the downward pressure does not seem to be easing at the start of this week. The next major milestone for the group will be the publication of its first quarter 2026 results, scheduled for April 23. This event will be followed by the annual general meeting planned for May 21. These two events could provide market players with concrete elements about the operational trajectory of the equipment manufacturer. The previous session's turmoil on the CAC 40, triggered by geopolitical tensions around the Strait of Hormuz and then by the announcement of a resumption of dialogue between Washington and Tehran, contributed to maintaining a climate of uncertainty across the entire Parisian stock market. The postponement of US strikes against Iran had allowed a rebound at the end of the day on Monday, but the calm did not spread to Tuesday's session.
"2025 a été une année remarquable pour nos activités, portées par un trafic passagers record et une dynamique soutenue dans la défense."
Safran publie des résultats annuels 2025 solides: chiffre d'affaires consolidé de 31,189 milliards d'euros (+12,5 % YoY), résultat opérationnel courant consolidé de 4,787 milliards d'euros (+14,4 %), EBITDA de 6,318 milliards d'euros, cash-flow libre de 3,921 milliards d'euros; perspectives 2026: CA attendu en hausse de 12-15 %, COI entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et FCF entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, ambi tions 2028 relevées.
Risks mentioned
Capacités de production de la chaîne d’approvisionnement
Opportunities identified
Croissance soutenue des activités d’après-vente et défense
Livraisons et contenu des services liés au LEAP et à l’aéronautique civile
Dynamique du trafic aérien favorable et extension des commandes dans la défense
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Le chiffre d'affaires 2026 est attendu entre 12 % et 15 % de hausse par rapport à l'année 2025.
Expected EBITDA: EBITDA 2026 attendu entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros.
Management commentary: Pour 2026, Safran prévoit une croissance du chiffre d'affaires entre 12 % et 15 %, un résultat opérationnel courant entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et un flux de trésorerie libre entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, sous réserve de l'exécution des livraisons et du calendrier de paiement des États clients.
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