Safran Shares Surge 2.76% and Reclaim Position Above 50-Day Moving Average
Safran's stock significantly advanced this Tuesday midday, posting a 2.76% increase to 323.40 euros after closing at 314.70 euros the previous day. This rebound occurs amidst a general rise in European markets during the session, with the CAC 40 up 2.31% and the DAX increasing by 2.22%. The aerospace equipment manufacturer is thus attempting to recover some of the losses accumulated over the past seven days (-3.78%).
On this Tuesday, Safran's share price hovers around 323.40 euros, slightly above its 50-day moving average of 318.25 euros. This technical level is an important benchmark: the stock had fallen below it during the recent weekly downturn, and today's upward crossing could signal an attempt at stabilization. Conversely, the 14-day RSI stands at 32, near the oversold zone, indicating the selling pressure experienced in recent sessions and the rapidity of the recent correction. The most relevant technical support is at 298.60 euros, a level not approached during this decline, while resistance is formed at 347.20 euros, about 7% above the current price.
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The next major event for Safran shareholders is scheduled for April 23, the date set for the publication of the first quarter 2026 results. This milestone will be followed by the general meeting planned for May 21, and then the communication of the half-year accounts on July 28. From a longer-term perspective, the stock maintains a favorable momentum with an annual performance of 28.95% and a gain of 9.7% over three months, despite the recent consolidation. The 200-day moving average, established at 294.78 euros, remains significantly below the current price, confirming that the underlying trend continues to be bullish. In the background, the monthly volatility measured at 11.39% and a VIX in a high tension zone at 29.49 — sharply up from the previous reading — remind us that the market environment remains nervous globally, which can fuel large movements in industrial stocks.
"2025 a été une année remarquable pour nos activités, portées par un trafic passagers record et une dynamique soutenue dans la défense."
Safran publie des résultats annuels 2025 solides: chiffre d'affaires consolidé de 31,189 milliards d'euros (+12,5 % YoY), résultat opérationnel courant consolidé de 4,787 milliards d'euros (+14,4 %), EBITDA de 6,318 milliards d'euros, cash-flow libre de 3,921 milliards d'euros; perspectives 2026: CA attendu en hausse de 12-15 %, COI entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et FCF entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, ambi tions 2028 relevées.
Risks mentioned
Capacités de production de la chaîne d’approvisionnement
Opportunities identified
Croissance soutenue des activités d’après-vente et défense
Livraisons et contenu des services liés au LEAP et à l’aéronautique civile
Dynamique du trafic aérien favorable et extension des commandes dans la défense
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Le chiffre d'affaires 2026 est attendu entre 12 % et 15 % de hausse par rapport à l'année 2025.
Expected EBITDA: EBITDA 2026 attendu entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros.
Management commentary: Pour 2026, Safran prévoit une croissance du chiffre d'affaires entre 12 % et 15 %, un résultat opérationnel courant entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et un flux de trésorerie libre entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, sous réserve de l'exécution des livraisons et du calendrier de paiement des États clients.
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