Wendel's Stock Bounces Back 2.25% in Extreme Overselling with RSI at 20
Wendel's stock price increased by 2.25% this Wednesday midday to 77.10 euros, after closing at 75.40 euros the previous day. This rebound occurs in the context of a broader recovery of the Parisian market, with the CAC 40 gaining 0.89% during the session. However, the momentum remains fragile for the investment company, whose share price has fallen nearly 6% over seven days and almost 15% over a year.
Wendel's share price is significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, located at 83.89 euros and 83.30 euros respectively, indicating a bearish trend established over several weeks. The stock is also very close to the lower boundary of its Bollinger Bands (74.71 euros), confirming the selling pressure observed in recent days. The RSI indicator is at 20, a level that characterizes a marked oversold zone. This rarely reached threshold indicates that the downward pressure has been particularly intense and that the stock has undergone a rapid correction. The technical support identified at 74.50 euros held during the previous session, which could explain the catch-up movement observed this Wednesday morning. The most significant resistance is at 91.60 euros, nearly 19% above the current share price.
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The next major milestone for Wendel is the publication of its first quarter 2026 results, scheduled for April 22. This event will be followed by the annual general meeting on May 21, and then the semi-annual results on July 29. These stages will provide multiple opportunities for the market to reassess the investment group's trajectory. During the session, the SBF 120, which includes Wendel, advanced by 0.93%, in a market environment marked by a VIX index at 27.19 on March 13, reflecting a high level of tension in the markets. Among comparable stocks, AXA recorded an increase of 0.51% and Adyen 0.38%, more modest gains than Wendel's performance this Wednesday. The very low beta of the stock (0.03) suggests a limited correlation with major indices, making its movements more dependent on factors specific to the group.
« L'objectif de plus de 200 M€ de FRE pro forma sur l'ensemble de l'année est confirmé »
Risks mentioned
Scalian : chiffre d'affaires en baisse de 5,1 % dans un marché contraint, notamment en France
CPI : incertitudes sur les financements fédéraux américains pesant sur la demande
Décollecte nette de 0,09 Md$ sur le BDC non coté Monroe Capital Income Plus
Opportunities identified
Acquisition de Committed Advisors portant les encours à 48,7 Mds€ et diversifiant vers le secondaire
Levées de fonds de 2,2 Mds€ au S1 2026 et pipeline commercial jugé très positif
Environ 1,65 Md€ de produits attendus des cessions de Stahl et IHS pour financer croissance et retours
Outlook / guidance
Management commentary: Une croissance organique modérée à élevée à un chiffre de son chiffre d'affaires (contre une croissance organique modérée à un chiffre […] du chiffre d'affaires précédemment)
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