ADP Shares Drop 2.5% and Struggle at 200-Day Moving Average
The Parisian airport manager takes a breather after its rally last week. The stock is down in a declining Parisian market, following several sessions of gains that had brought it close to its long-term moving averages.
A Consolidation Bringing ADP's Price to Its Short-Term Moving Averages
The stock is priced at €110.70, down 2.47% for the session, after closing the previous day at €113.50. This movement only partially erases the weekly gain, which still stands at over 8% for the week. The price remains slightly above its MM20 at €109.10 (+1.47%) and its MM50 at €108.73 (+1.81%), but stays below the MM200 at €113.39 (-2.37%), confirming that the reconquest of spring's peaks is not yet secured. The RSI at 59 remains in a neutral zone, without signs of exhaustion. The resistance at €115 identified in technical data marks the upper boundary of the current corridor, while the support at €102.30 outlines the bearish scenario.
Easing in Ormuz and Mixed European Air Traffic in the Background
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The decline follows the recent rally fueled by easing tensions in the Middle East, already discussed in the session of June 15. The memorandum of understanding signed on June 18 between Washington and Tehran, which plans for a gradual reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, has impacted Brent (-2.23% at $77.78 per barrel), a favorable factor for operators sensitive to the cost of kerosene. On the traffic front, ACI Europe data published on June 4 shows a slight decline in European passenger traffic by 0.7% in April, with Paris-CDG stable and Schiphol up by 2.7%. Financially, the group placed a €600 million bond on June 10, with a 9-year maturity and a coupon of 3.875%, aimed at general needs and refinancing. At the 2025 accounts release (March 13, 2026), the group targeted a recurring EBITDA of over €2,350 million for 2026, with traffic growth between 1.5% and 2.5%. Crossing the €113.39 level, the MM200, remains the pivot point to watch to validate the medium-term bullish momentum.
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Context
Period
Period: 9M 2026
Key reported figures
Revenue: 5 106 millions d'euros
Quarterly revenue: 5 106 millions d'euros
Revenue growth: 1,4 %
Guidance from the release
Whilst taking these measures into account, Groupe ADP is monitoring the latest traffic forecasts and the prolonged nature of the tensions in the Middle East
Risks mentioned
Disruptions to the operating environment related to the conflict in the Middle East, particularly affecting international traffic flows
Traffic continues to be adversely affected by reduction in IndiGo's flight schedules and airlines facing rising fuel prices
Works taking place at Paris-Orly airport leading to reduction in flight schedules and limited transfers to Paris-Charles de Gaulle
Opportunities identified
Extension of Tbilisi airport concession period to 31 December 2031 with USD150 million investment planned
GMR Airports commences operations at Nagpur and Bhogapuram airports with significant capacity for future growth
Opening of two new P/S private terminals in Dallas-Fort Worth and Miami to expand private aviation services
Outlook / guidance
Expected EBITDA: 2 300 millions d'euros
Management commentary: « compte tenu d'un environnement opérationnel toujours difficile, le Groupe anticipe un EBITDA courant pour 2026 dans le bas de la fourchette de 2 300 à 2 350 millions d'euros »
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.