ADP Stock Approaches a Key Technical Threshold After Nearly 3% Rebound
The Paris-region airport manager stands out in the mid-afternoon, in a well-oriented Parisian market. The stock is recovering from the decline accumulated since its disappointing quarterly results at the end of April, reaching a significant technical area.
A 2.79% Rebound Brings the Stock Back to its 200-Day Moving Average
ADP gains 2.79% to €114.10 in mid-afternoon trading, while the CAC 40 is up by 1.04% and the SBF 120 by 0.98%. The stock thus ranks among the notable rises in the SBF 120, in a session dominated by automotive equipment manufacturers (Valeo, Forvia, OPmobility). The rebound brings the weekly gain to nearly 9%, following the post-results drop on April 29 that had pushed the price below €100. This movement brings the stock directly in contact with its 200-day moving average, located at €114.13, which had acted as a ceiling for several weeks. Moreover, the price is significantly above its MM20 (€106.58) and MM50 (€107.73), with a gap of more than 7% on the first. The RSI at 56 indicates a bullish momentum still measured, far from an overbought zone, while the MACD has moved back into positive territory. The immediate threshold to watch is the resistance at €114.50, just above the current price.
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SectorInfrastructures · Transports›Services de Transport
Context
Period
Period: 2025
Key reported figures
Revenue: 6 704 millions d'euros
Revenue growth: 8,9 %
EBITDA: 2 322 millions d'euros
EBITDA margin: 34,6 %
Net income: 382 millions d'euros
8 625 millions d'euros
Dividend per share: 3,00 €
Payout ratio: 60,0 %
Guidance from the release
L’année 2025 a été marquée par l’impulsion d’une nouvelle dynamique au sein du Groupe ADP et l’amorce d’une transformation structurelle de notre modèle.
Résultats annuels 2025 : chiffre d’affaires de 6 704 millions d’euros, EBITDA courant de 2 322 millions d’euros, RNPG de 382 millions d’euros; dette nette de 8 625 millions d’euros et dividende proposé de 3,00 euros par action. Le groupe atteint ses objectifs 2025 et prévoit une distribution de dividendes conforme à 60% du RNPG.
Outlook / guidance
Expected EBITDA: supérieur à 2 350 millions d'euros
Management commentary: Pour 2026, l’EBITDA courant est attendu au-delà de 2 350 millions d’euros; le ratio Dette Nette / EBITDA courant visé est inférieur ou égal à 3,7x; capex autour de 1 450 millions d’euros, dont environ 1 000 millions pour ADP SA; politique de distribution de dividendes à 60% du résultat net part du groupe avec un plancher de 3,00 euros par action; trafic attendu en croissance autour de 1,5% à 2,5% et CA par Pax Extime Paris supérieur à 32 euros.
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.