The asset manager reached a new all-time high early in the session before losing ground in a generally positive Parisian market. The stock is taking a breather after soaring for several weeks, as major brokerage houses have just adjusted their targets.
New Intraday Record at €90.05 Before a Slight Retreat During the Session
Amundi's stock reached €90.05 during the session, a historic high surpassing the previous record of €89.90 set the day before. By midday, the stock had retreated by 0.28% to €89.20, while the CAC 40 was up 0.48% and the SBF 120 up 0.42%. Today's movement remains modest after a stock performance showing an 8.12% increase over the week and more than 20% over three months. The stock is significantly above its 20-day moving average (MM20) of €83.76 and its 50-day moving average (MM50) of €83.91, with a gap exceeding 6% in both cases, while the RSI reaches 70, a threshold indicating entry into the overbought zone following this acceleration. The resistance at €89.45, coinciding with the previous peak, was exceeded at the start of the session, although the stock did not manage to maintain it.
Morgan Stanley and Citi Align Their Targets with Achieved Levels
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Two brokerage houses raised their price targets on the eve of the record. Morgan Stanley increased its target from €86.20 to €90.00 and confirms a 'market-weight' opinion. Citi, on the other hand, raised its target from €81.00 to €89.00 with a neutral opinion. These two targets are now almost at the current price level, which according to these analysts leaves limited upside potential. The asset manager continues its development in Asia, where it aims to achieve €150 billion in net inflows between 2025 and 2028, according to the regional strategy presented at the end of June. The next technical milestone remains the symbolic €90 mark, which was brushed this morning without consolidation.
Au troisième trimestre, Amundi a prolongé les dynamiques positives avec une collecte de +15 Md€, une hausse des revenus de +5% et une progression du résultat avant impôt de +4 %.
Collecte soutenue (9M +67 Md€, T3 +15 Md€), encours record 2 317 Md€, croissance des revenus (+4,9 % 9M ajusté), forte progression d'Amundi Technology (+48% 9M/9M) et bonne dynamique des ETF (+28 Md€ 9M). Résultats ajustés en hausse: résultat avant impôt ajusté 9M 1 340 M€, résultat net ajusté 9M 978 M€.
Risks mentioned
Incertitude sur le renouvellement du contrat de distribution UniCredit à échéance juillet 2027
Risque de change: effet défavorable du dollar US (-12%) et de la roupie indienne (-15%) sur les encours
Risque de réallocation de l'EPFO pouvant entraîner sorties pour SBI FM (30-40 Md€ évoqués)
Volatilité des marchés pouvant impacter les encours et la collecte
Opportunities identified
Croissance en Asie (collecte 9M +29 Md€, forte contribution des JV et distribution directe)
Distribution Tiers et plateformes digitales (collecte 9M +21 Md€, 34% de la collecte via plateformes digitales)
Actifs privés et stratégies Megatendances (levée Mégatendances III 0,3 Md€)
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.