Danone's stock significantly fell this Wednesday, showing a decrease of 2.22% to 71.50 euros during the session, while the CAC 40 index rose by 0.89% at the same time. This drop occurred without any apparent catalyst, amidst high market tension, with the VIX at 27.19 as of March 13. The next key date for the group will be the release of its first-quarter revenue, scheduled for April 22.
At 71.50 euros, Danone is now trading below its 50-day moving average, set at 71.58 euros, and nearly at its 20-day average (71.49 euros). This downward crossing of the 50-day moving average is a technical signal to watch, as it may indicate a weakening of the bullish momentum observed over the last seven days (+3.18%). The RSI, at 53, remains in a neutral zone, indicating neither overbuying nor overselling, but the stock is midway between its support at 69.00 euros and its resistance at 74.12 euros. Today's decline contrasts with the performance of the SBF 120, which is up by 0.93% in the session. Among comparable stocks, Unilever also fell by 1.79%, while L'Oréal remained stable (+0.04%). Over three months, Danone's performance remains negative at -7.69%, and the stock shows almost no change over a year (-0.42%), signaling a trajectory struggling to find a real upward momentum.
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The next important event on the financial calendar for the food industry group is the announcement of the first quarter 2026 revenues, scheduled for April 22. This date will be closely watched to assess Danone's ability to maintain its organic growth trajectory and the resilience of its various divisions—specialized nutrition, dairy products, and waters—in a macroeconomic environment still marked by uncertainties. The stock is currently trading significantly below its 200-day moving average, positioned at 73.20 euros, representing a gap of nearly 2.3%. This setup reflects an underlying trend that remains fragile. The very low beta of the stock (0.09) however reminds us that Danone remains a value little correlated to general market fluctuations, which partly explains the discrepancy observed this Wednesday with the rise of the CAC 40. The volatility measured over a month stands at 6.09, a contained level for a large capitalization in the consumer staples sector.
SectorAgroalimentaire et boissons›Industrie alimentaire
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Context
Period
Period: S1 2026
Key reported figures
Revenue: 13 936 millions d'euros
Quarterly revenue: 13 936 millions d'euros
Revenue growth: 1,4 %
Net income: 1 175 millions d'euros
Free cash flow: 852 millions d'euros
8 975 millions d'euros
Guidance from the release
Objectifs 2026 confirmés, en ligne avec l'ambition moyen-terme
Risks mentioned
Free cash-flow en baisse de -27,3 % à 852 M€ au S1 2026
Dette nette en hausse à 9,0 Md€ contre 8,4 Md€ fin décembre 2025
Effet de change négatif de -3,3 % sur le chiffre d'affaires publié
Opportunities identified
Objectifs 2026 confirmés : croissance comparable entre +3 % et +5 %
Finalisation attendue au S2 2026 des acquisitions MADE Group et Saputo Dairy Australia
Marge des Eaux en forte progression de +196 pb à 13,3 %
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: 28 374 millions d'euros
Management commentary: croissance du chiffre d'affaires en données comparables comprise entre +3% et +5%
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.