Dassault Aviation Shares Drop Below Key Technical Threshold at 330 Euros
Dassault Aviation ended the week on a negative note, dropping 3.11% to €330.00 on Friday, March 20. The stock now shows a decline of 5.34% over the past seven days, amid widespread tension on the Parisian market, with the CAC 40 losing 1.40% during the session.
By closing at €330.00, Dassault Aviation has fallen below its 50-day moving average, which stands at €331.35, after already slipping from its 20-day average of €341.94 in recent sessions. This bearish crossing of the 50-day moving average is a short-term negative technical signal, as this indicator reflects the trend over the past five to six weeks: a drop below suggests a weakening of the buying momentum. The price is also approaching the lower boundary of the Bollinger Bands, positioned at €325.72, while the support identified at €315.20 represents the next reference threshold in case the movement continues. The RSI, at 51, remains in the neutral zone and does not yet indicate overselling, leaving open the possibility of a deeper correction without immediate technical excess. In the sector, other major French industrial capitalizations also suffered this Friday. Airbus lost 1.28% and Schneider Electric dropped 1.21%, reflecting a generally cautious climate on industrial stocks listed in Paris. The SBF 120 was down 1.39% during the session.
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Despite this week's correction, Dassault Aviation's stock performance remains solidly in the green over a three-month horizon, with a gain of 20.09%. Over a year, the stock is up 4.3%, supported in particular by the dynamics of the European defense sector. The 200-day moving average, set at €293.49, is significantly below the current price, confirming that the underlying trend remains bullish at this stage. The financial calendar ahead offers several events that could interest investors. The annual general meeting of shareholders is scheduled for May 13, 2026, followed by the publication of the half-year results on July 22. These dates will allow an assessment of the operational trajectory of the aerospace and defense manufacturer, in a geopolitical environment that continues to support European military budgets. The negative beta of the stock (-0.16) also reflects a low historical correlation with the overall market, making it an atypical profile within the Parisian listing.
Le Rafale a confirmé son succès en 2025, avec la livraison du 300 ème Rafale et la commande de 26 Rafale par la Marine indienne.
Dassault Aviation présente des résultats 2025 conformes à l’évolution attendue: chiffre d’affaires consolidé IFRS de 7 426 millions d’euros, résultat opérationnel consolidé IFRS de 639 millions d’euros, résultat net consolidé IFRS de 977 millions d’euros et marge nette consolidée IFRS de 13,2%. Trésorerie disponible à 9 415 millions d’euros. Carnet de commandes consolidé à 46 596 millions d’euros et ratio book-to-bill de 1,5x. Dividendes proposés de 4,78 euros par action (payout d’environ 35%). Pour 2026, le chiffre d’affaires est anticipé autour de 8,5 milliards d’euros avec 40 Falcon et 28 Rafale prévus.
Risks mentioned
Incertitudes liées aux contextes militaires, géopolitiques et budgétaires, couplés aux droits de douane et à l’incertitude sur le SCAF.
Pression fiscale dégrade la compétitivité de la Société.
Incertitudes liées au droit de douane américain au 1er semestre 2025 et à l’évolution du Make in India.
Opportunities identified
Progression possible grâce au Make in India et à la coopération avec des partenaires indiens (DRAL, Tata Advanced Systems).
Poursuite du développement et de la modernisation des programmes Rafale/Falcon et du SCAF, ARCHANGE et ALBATROS; potentiel d’accroître les exports.
Partenariats pour une IA souveraine et maîtrisée avec AMIAD, Thales (cortAIx) et Harmattan AI.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: 8,5 milliards d'euros (2026)
Management commentary: La prévision pour 2026 prévoit un chiffre d’affaires en hausse par rapport à 2025, à 8,5 milliards d’euros, soutenu par les livraisons prévues de Rafale et Falcon (40 Falcon et 28 Rafale).
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