Dassault Aviation Shares Hit a New Historic High at €349.80
On this Wednesday, Dassault Aviation's stock reached a new historic high of €349.80, surpassing the previous peak of €343.20 achieved two days earlier. The stock has increased by 2.76% compared to the previous day, driven by a sustained upward trend over the past several weeks. This new record comes just under two weeks before the announcement of the 2025 annual results, scheduled for March 4.
By surpassing the €343.20 threshold, which had been its major technical resistance, Dassault Aviation confirms a significant upward break. The stock price is now well above its 50-day moving average, which stands at €301.77, indicating a buying momentum that has been established for several weeks. The increasing gap between the current price and this moving average illustrates the recent acceleration of the movement: the stock shows a performance of 7.3% over seven days and nearly 22% over three months. The RSI, an indicator measuring the speed and magnitude of price changes, is at 54, a still moderate level that does not indicate an overheating zone. This positioning suggests that the recent progress does not, at this stage, come with a technical excess likely to trigger a mechanical correction. Over one year, the stock's valuation has jumped by more than 50%, marking a remarkable journey for the European aircraft manufacturer.
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The upcoming announcement of the 2025 annual results, scheduled for March 4, is the next major event for the stockholders. This milestone will allow for the assessment of the group's financial trajectory over the past fiscal year, in a context where European defense budgets are subject to increased discussion. Beyond this date, Dassault Aviation's financial calendar includes the general meeting of shareholders on May 13, followed by the publication of the semi-annual accounts on July 22, and the third-quarter results on October 28. These various stages will punctuate the visibility offered to shareholders throughout the 2026 fiscal year. The monthly volatility of the stock remains contained at 10.16, while its negative beta of -0.19 indicates a low correlation with general market movements, giving the stock an atypical profile within the Paris stock exchange.
Le Rafale a confirmé son succès en 2025, avec la livraison du 300 ème Rafale et la commande de 26 Rafale par la Marine indienne.
Dassault Aviation présente des résultats 2025 conformes à l’évolution attendue: chiffre d’affaires consolidé IFRS de 7 426 millions d’euros, résultat opérationnel consolidé IFRS de 639 millions d’euros, résultat net consolidé IFRS de 977 millions d’euros et marge nette consolidée IFRS de 13,2%. Trésorerie disponible à 9 415 millions d’euros. Carnet de commandes consolidé à 46 596 millions d’euros et ratio book-to-bill de 1,5x. Dividendes proposés de 4,78 euros par action (payout d’environ 35%). Pour 2026, le chiffre d’affaires est anticipé autour de 8,5 milliards d’euros avec 40 Falcon et 28 Rafale prévus.
Risks mentioned
Incertitudes liées aux contextes militaires, géopolitiques et budgétaires, couplés aux droits de douane et à l’incertitude sur le SCAF.
Pression fiscale dégrade la compétitivité de la Société.
Incertitudes liées au droit de douane américain au 1er semestre 2025 et à l’évolution du Make in India.
Opportunities identified
Progression possible grâce au Make in India et à la coopération avec des partenaires indiens (DRAL, Tata Advanced Systems).
Poursuite du développement et de la modernisation des programmes Rafale/Falcon et du SCAF, ARCHANGE et ALBATROS; potentiel d’accroître les exports.
Partenariats pour une IA souveraine et maîtrisée avec AMIAD, Thales (cortAIx) et Harmattan AI.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: 8,5 milliards d'euros (2026)
Management commentary: La prévision pour 2026 prévoit un chiffre d’affaires en hausse par rapport à 2025, à 8,5 milliards d’euros, soutenu par les livraisons prévues de Rafale et Falcon (40 Falcon et 28 Rafale).
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