Edenred Shares Jump 2% Against the CAC 40 Trend, Despite a 44% Drop Over the Year
In the trading session on Thursday, March 12, Edenred's stock marked a notable rebound of 2.06%, reaching 18.87 euros, while the CAC 40 index fell by 0.38%. This surge comes after a week of decline for the specialist in specific-use payment solutions, with a 2.36% drop over the past seven days. The context is still characterized by a sharp annual decline of more than 44%.
On this Thursday, Edenred's stock price is moving above its 50-day moving average, which is at 18.26 euros, signaling a short-term recovery. The stock also surpasses its 20-day moving average (18.64 euros), confirming a return above its recent benchmarks. However, the 200-day moving average remains significantly higher at 21.88 euros, nearly 16% above the current price, illustrating the long-term downward trend that has weighed on the stock for a year.
The RSI, an indicator measuring buying and selling momentum, is at 57, indicating a neutral zone without bullish excess or overbought signals. The most relevant resistance threshold is at 19.74 euros: a sustainable crossing of this level could pave the way for a more pronounced recovery phase. Conversely, the support at 17.20 euros remains a point of vigilance in case of a downturn.
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Edenred's financial calendar looks busy in the coming weeks. The group will publish its first-quarter revenue on April 23, followed by the annual general meeting scheduled for May 7. These milestones will be crucial in assessing the operational trajectory of the group, after a year marked by a significant decline in the stock.
This intraday rebound occurs in a cautious European environment: the CAC 40 is down 0.38% in the session, while the DAX has fallen by 0.10%. In Asia, the Nikkei 225 ended the day down 1.04%. Over three months, Edenred has shown a modest increase of 2.22%, suggesting a stabilization phase after the sharp correction observed over the year. The monthly volatility of the stock, measured at 10.62, remains contained.
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Context
Period
Period: 3T 2025
Guidance from the release
Edenred confirme la solidité de son modèle économique et réaffirme ses objectifs 2025, visant au moins 10 % de croissance organique de l’EBITDA et un taux de conversion Free-cash-flow/EBITDA supérieur à 70 %.
Croissance organique accélérée au T3 2025 (+8,2 % chiffre d’affaires opérationnel) portée par toutes les lignes de métier, forte dynamique en Amérique latine et amélioration en Europe; Mobilité en croissance à deux chiffres; Solutions complémentaires en repli. Effets de change négatifs et impact réglementaire en Italie (plafonnement commissions) anticipés.
Risks mentioned
Impact négatif attendu de 60 millions d’euros d’EBITDA lié au plafonnement des commissions marchands en Italie
Effets de change défavorables (dépréciation des devises en Amérique latine, notamment réal brésilien et peso mexicain)
Environnement macroéconomique incertain pouvant affecter la consommation et la demande
Opportunities identified
Hausses des valeurs faciales des titres-restaurant dans plusieurs pays (ex. Belgique +25% à partir du 1er janvier 2026) soutenant la croissance organique
Partenariats stratégiques (Visa, Esso, grand distributeur de carburant) renforçant l’offre et l’accès au marché
Déploiement des solutions Beyond Food et Beyond Fuel et conquête du segment PME encore sous-pénétré
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