Eramet Shares Jump 4.41% and Cross a Key Technical Threshold
This Thursday morning, Eramet shares are showing a significant rebound of 4.41%, reaching 59.20 euros, after a week of decline marked by a drop of over 6%. The mining and metallurgical group's stock has moved above its 20-day moving average in a context of high volatility in the commodities market.
After several sessions of decline, Eramet has regained strength by crossing above its 20-day moving average, which is at 58.88 euros. This crossover is a short-term positive signal for technical observers, especially since the price is now well above the 200-day moving average (55.56 euros), which acts as a medium-term floor. The RSI, an indicator measuring the momentum of a stock over 14 days, is at 49, indicating a neutral zone. This level reflects the absence of bullish or bearish overheating and leaves room for progression before reaching alert thresholds. However, the stock is still far from its 50-day average (65.94 euros), suggesting that the underlying trend remains fragile despite the positive session today. The main resistance is positioned at 87.00 euros, a level far from the current prices.
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Over three months, the mining group's stock has shown a gain of 17.23%, driven by the recovery of certain metal prices on international markets. Over one year, the performance reaches 13.19%, a commendable track record for a stock exposed to the cyclicality of commodities. The beta of 0.45 further confirms that the stock is less volatile than the overall Parisian market, which can be explained by the specific profile of its activities in nickel and manganese. The next important milestone for the group is set for April 23, 2026, the date of the first quarter revenue publication. This event will be closely monitored to assess the impact of the macroeconomic environment on volumes and sales prices. The monthly volatility of the stock, measured at 35.38%, remains significant, reflecting a persistent sensitivity to fluctuations in commodity markets and geopolitical risks that could affect global supply chains.
SectorMétaux et matières premières›Métaux non ferreux
Context
Period
Period: 3T 2025
Guidance from the release
Malgré un contexte de marché difficile, Eramet a maintenu un niveau d’activité solide, grâce à l’engagement et à l’agilité de ses équipes.
Conjoncture macroéconomique incertaine pesant sur la demande et les prix; marchés du manganèse, nickel et lithium globalement en excédent au T3 2025 avec pression sur les prix; perturbations logistiques au Gabon et incertitudes réglementaires en Indonésie.
Risks mentioned
Difficultés logistiques sur le réseau ferroviaire gabonais (Transgabonais) affectant le transport du minerai
Pression des prix et faible demande macroéconomique
Risque de non-respect du covenant de gearing au 31/12/2025 (waiver demandé)
Enquête des autorités indonésiennes sur une partie de la concession PT WBN
Opportunities identified
Montée en cadence robuste de la production de carbonate de lithium (usine Centenario) — volumes 2 080 t-LCE au T3 2025, objectif 4 - 7 kt-LCE en 2025
Rebond des volumes et chiffre d’affaires de PT WBN (forte progression des ventes externes de minerai de nickel)
Programme d’amélioration de la performance opérationnelle et financière (cash boost, optimisation capex, réduction coûts)
Ajustement du plan de capex pour préserver trésorerie (capex 2025 entre 400 M€ et 425 M€)
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