Imerys Stock Rebounds Nearly 3% and Approaches Its 50-Day Moving Average
The French mining group catches its breath after several sessions of decline. The stock benefits from a well-oriented Parisian market and approaches a closely watched technical threshold, while its annual performance remains negative.
A Technical Rebound Brings the Stock in Contact with Its 50-Day Average
Imerys stock gains 2.44% to €21.86 in early afternoon trading, after closing the previous day at €21.34. The stock is among the gainers in the SBF 120 index. This rebound brings the price just above the 50-day moving average (MM50) at €21.79, with a gap of +0.32% placing the stock in direct contact with this benchmark. The 20-day moving average (MM20) remains slightly higher at €22.11, while the 200-day moving average at €22.87 shows a lag of 4.42%, reflecting medium-term pressure. The RSI at 43 remains in the neutral zone and the MACD continues below its signal line, suggesting that today's dynamics are more akin to a technical rebound than a confirmed turnaround. The support identified at €20.98 was not tested during the recent decline, as the stock pivoted higher. Over the week, the performance is down by 4.12%, and the decline reaches 26.15% over the year.
French Industrial Attractiveness Weakened, Against the Backdrop of Sectoral Decline
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The sectoral context remains challenging for French industrial companies exposed to raw materials and chemicals. According to the EY barometer published on May 22, the number of foreign investment projects in France is set to decline by 17% in 2025, dropping from 1,025 to 852 projects, a more pronounced fall than in Germany or the United Kingdom. Industrial installations and expansions are particularly declining in the automotive, chemical, and metallurgy sectors, which are key for a player like Imerys, a specialist in industrial minerals. In the short term, the €22.11 zone corresponding to the MM20 represents the next technical reference above the current price. The sustained crossing of the MM50 will need to be monitored in upcoming sessions to assess the strength of the rebound.
« Imerys revoit à la hausse ses prévisions pour l'exercice 2026, après trois trimestres consécutifs de croissance » ; « Ces performances confortent notre décision de relever notre prévision d'EBITDA ajusté pour l'exercice 2026 »
Risks mentioned
Pressions inflationnistes et conditions de marché difficiles persistantes notamment en Europe
Faiblesse de la demande dans le secteur de la construction et exposition au secteur de la céramique
Impact des variations des taux de change et des quotas de l'UE sur l'importation d'aciers chinois
Opportunities identified
Montée en cadence de l'intégration de Great Lakes Minerals et S&B Mineração contribuant déjà aux résultats
Excellente performance de l'activité Graphite et Carbone avec croissance de 16% portée par les véhicules électriques et stockage d'énergie
Amélioration continue des marges grâce au projet Horizon d'amélioration des coûts en avance sur le calendrier
Outlook / guidance
Expected EBITDA: 580 millions d'euros
Management commentary: « Imerys revoit donc à la hausse sa prévision d'EBITDA ajusté pour l'exercice 2026 : elle devrait désormais être comprise entre 570 et 590 millions d'euros, sous réserve de l'absence de dégradation significative de l'environnement opérationnel actuel. »
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
