Imerys Stock Soars 7.46% Following US-Iran Ceasefire
Imerys rose by 7.46% this Wednesday morning to €21.32, driven by a general rebound in European markets following the announced ceasefire between the United States and Iran. The stock, which had fallen more than 20% over the year, has moved back above its technical support after several weeks of continuous decline.
This morning, Imerys stock shows notable progress, aligning with the bullish momentum of the Paris stock market. The CAC 40 is up by 4.28% during the session, while the SBF 120 has gained 4.20%, in a context of a sharp rebound following the ceasefire agreement between Washington and Tehran. The prospect of reopening the Strait of Hormuz, a strategic passageway for global energy trade, helps to alleviate some of the uncertainty that has weighed on the markets since the beginning of the conflict. Brent crude prices have dropped 15% in a few hours, falling below $100 per barrel, a decrease that could benefit energy-intensive industries like Imerys, a specialist in specialty minerals. However, the upward movement in the stock should be viewed with caution: over three months, the performance still shows a decline of 12.12%, and the price remains well below its levels from a year ago (-20.86%).
Technical Configuration of Imerys Remains Weak Despite Gains
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Despite today's rise, the technical setup of Imerys remains weakened. The price, at €21.32, is significantly below its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which are at €23.86 and €23.52 respectively, indicating a medium-term bearish trend that has not yet reversed. The RSI, at 31, is approaching the oversold zone, signaling that selling pressure over the last few weeks has been intense. The stock has returned to the middle of its Bollinger Bands (lower bound at €20.04, upper bound at €22.76), after testing its support threshold at €19.84 — precisely matching the previous day's closing level. The next identifiable resistance is at €24.92. On the calendar side, the first quarter 2026 results will be published on April 29, followed by the annual general meeting scheduled for May 12. These events will provide insight into the group's ability to navigate an environment of high energy costs and uncertain demand in the materials sector.
« Imerys revoit à la hausse ses prévisions pour l'exercice 2026, après trois trimestres consécutifs de croissance » ; « Ces performances confortent notre décision de relever notre prévision d'EBITDA ajusté pour l'exercice 2026 »
Risks mentioned
Pressions inflationnistes et conditions de marché difficiles persistantes notamment en Europe
Faiblesse de la demande dans le secteur de la construction et exposition au secteur de la céramique
Impact des variations des taux de change et des quotas de l'UE sur l'importation d'aciers chinois
Opportunities identified
Montée en cadence de l'intégration de Great Lakes Minerals et S&B Mineração contribuant déjà aux résultats
Excellente performance de l'activité Graphite et Carbone avec croissance de 16% portée par les véhicules électriques et stockage d'énergie
Amélioration continue des marges grâce au projet Horizon d'amélioration des coûts en avance sur le calendrier
Outlook / guidance
Expected EBITDA: 580 millions d'euros
Management commentary: « Imerys revoit donc à la hausse sa prévision d'EBITDA ajusté pour l'exercice 2026 : elle devrait désormais être comprise entre 570 et 590 millions d'euros, sous réserve de l'absence de dégradation significative de l'environnement opérationnel actuel. »
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.