Nexity's Stock Rebounds by 2.32% to €8.59 Ahead of May 21 Meeting
The real estate developer regains momentum at the opening of this Wednesday, May 6 session. The stock benefits from a supportive environment in the Parisian market, with the CAC 40 climbing 1.48% during the session. However, the value remains down nearly 11% over the year.
A Technical Rebound Above the 50-Day Moving Average
Nexity's stock gains 2.32% to €8.59 at the opening, following a reference price of €8.395 the previous day. The stock has moved back above its 50-day moving average, located at €8.44, and has distanced itself from the support at €7.73. However, the resistance at €9.23, which coincides with the 200-day moving average, remains out of reach. The RSI at 46 indicates a balance, with no extreme signals. Today's movement interrupts a downward trend that began in mid-April, as illustrated in the brief from April 29, where the stock was priced at €8.27. Over three months, the performance remains negative at -4.98%.
Focus on the General Meeting on May 21
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The next important date is on the financial calendar: the annual general meeting will be held on May 21. During the publication on September 30, 2025, the group confirmed its 2025 outlook, with a return to operational profitability (positive IFRS current operating result, excluding divested activities and excluding international management in extinction) and a net IFRS debt below €380 million, subject to macroeconomic stability. Among the levers identified on this occasion, the extension of the zero-interest loan had supported the demand for building land (+41%). The group also noted a risk related to the municipal election schedule, which could slow down the processing of building permits. The sectoral context remains marked by the caution of the ECB, which kept its key interest rates unchanged on April 30 and signaled a simultaneous intensification of risks on inflation and growth. In the short term, the €9.23 area is identified as the technical threshold in the data, approaching the May 21 meeting.
SectorImmobilier / construction · Opérateurs immobiliers›Construction résidentielle
Context
Period
Period: 9M2025
Guidance from the release
L’activité commerciale de Nexity continue de s’améliorer au 3ème trimestre ... renouer avec une croissance rentable dès 2025.
Fin du dispositif Pinel entraînant une forte baisse des investisseurs particuliers (-45 %) ; accédants en forte progression (+26 % pour Nexity sur 9M) soutenus par l’extension du PTZ et des taux stabilisés autour de 3,1 % ; marché tertiaire en bas de cycle avec livraisons 2024 impactant le CA tertiaire 2025 ; backlog à 3,9 Md€ (?1,5 année d’activité).
Risks mentioned
Dégradation de l’environnement macro-économique (guidance conditionnelle)
Risque lié aux municipales ralentissant l’instruction des permis de construire
Baisse du marché de détail liée à la fin du Pinel (-45 % investisseurs particuliers)
Segment tertiaire en bas de cycle et absence de rechargement du backlog tertiaire
Opportunities identified
Extension du PTZ favorisant la demande des accédants et des terrains à bâtir (+41 %)
Croissance des activités d’exploitation (résidences étudiantes, coworking) avec taux d’occupation élevés
Partenariat Carrefour avec potentiel CA à terminaison estimé à plus de 2 Md€
Recalibrage de l’offre commerciale et développement sélectif améliorant les délais d’écoulement (5 mois)
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