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Last updated : 15/09/2026 - 16h18
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Publicis Groupe shares fall back below €100 and weigh on the CAC 40

After posting a sharp gain the previous day, Publicis Groupe loses ground this Tuesday in a Paris market under pressure. The communications group falls back below its twenty-day moving average, in a macro context dominated by anticipations surrounding the Federal Reserve meeting tomorrow.


Publicis Groupe shares fall back below €100 and weigh on the CAC 40

A decline that brings the stock back below the MA20 in a struggling CAC 40

Publicis Groupe loses 1.88% during the session to €98.46, erasing a large part of the previous day's rebound. The stock thus finds itself below its twenty-day moving average (€100.60), with a gap of 2.13%, while remaining comfortably above its 50-day MA at €95.42 (gap of +3.19%). The CAC 40 falls 0.84% during the session, with the SBF 120 following the same trend at -0.85%. In this context, Publicis is among the strongest decliners of the CAC 40, with a sharper drop than the index.

The VIX surges more than 13% during the session, signaling increased tension on markets, in an environment where ten-year U.S. Treasury yields have crossed the 5% threshold and where the Fed is widely expected to raise its benchmark rates on Wednesday. This context of tightening financial conditions weighs on all risk assets, including communications and digital services stocks. Over a one-week rolling period, Publicis falls 1.59%; over one month, the decline reaches 3.28%. The support level at €93.86 remains for now well below current levels.

Contained short positions and upwardly revised guidance in July that remain in the background

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According to recorded declarations, four funds collectively hold 3.26% of Publicis Groupe shares sold short, down slightly by 0.12 percentage points compared to the level observed thirty days ago. This level, above 3% of the capital, reflects a notable presence of investors positioned bearishly, although recent trend shows a slight reduction movement rather than an increase in pressure. These positions do not suggest a strong directional signal, but they should be monitored in light of recent price dynamics.

Furthermore, when publishing first-half 2026 results on July 16, 2026, management had raised its organic growth objective for the fiscal year to a range of +4.5% to +5%, expressing confidence in new business momentum. The analysts' opinion on the stock will be a follow-up point in the coming sessions, in a context where the resistance level at €104.10 remains the short-term target to clear to regain upward momentum.



Sector Médias et publicité Agences de communication / publicité


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Context

Period
  • Period: S1 2026
Key reported figures
  • Revenue: 8 734 millions d'euros
  • Quarterly revenue: 8 734 millions d'euros
  • Revenue growth: -14,8 %
  • EBITDA: 1 524 millions d'euros
  • EBITDA margin: 21,1 %
  • Net income: 793 millions d'euros
  • Free cash flow: 950 millions d'euros
  • 1 215 millions d'euros
Guidance from the release
  • Relèvement de l'objectif de croissance organique pour 2026 à +4,5 % à +5 %, nous sommes en mesure de relever notre objectif
Risks mentioned
  • Contexte macroéconomique difficile.
  • Visibilité réduite sur le plan macroéconomique.
Opportunities identified
  • Relèvement de l’objectif de croissance organique pour 2026.
  • Dynamique en new business nous rend confiants.
Outlook / guidance
  • Management commentary: réitère ses objectifs pour 2027 et 2028 de croissance annuelle moyenne à taux de change constant du revenu net et du BNPA ajusté de +7 % à +8 % et de +8 % à +10 % respectivement

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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