Sodexo Shares Drop Nearly 2%: Analysts Divided, Short Sellers on the Rise
The stock of the group catering company falls mid-day, despite an upward trend in the SBF 120. Two firms updated their opinions yesterday, with diverging conclusions. The stock is trading below its 200-day moving average, in a context where short positions are increasing.
Citi Raises Target to €49 While Alphavalue Moves to 'Reduce' with a Target of €42.90
Two analysts updated their opinion on Sodexo on May 20. Citi maintains a neutral stance and raises its price target from €48 to €49, representing a potential of about 9% compared to the current price of €44.96. Alphavalue, on the other hand, downgrades its recommendation to 'reduce' and lowers its target from €43.80 to €42.90, a level now below the day's price.
These divergent views illustrate the opposing readings of the case after the rebound observed at the beginning of May. The stock had notably gained 2.4% on May 11 to reach its 50-day moving average, as reported in a publication on May 11. Over one year, the performance remains heavily negative, at -23.73%.
The declared net short positions also signal ongoing caution around the stock. According to the statements reviewed, nine funds together hold 6.52% of the capital in net short position, up 0.78 points over thirty days. This increase indicates that some institutional investors remain positioned against the stock or seek to cover exposure. This point deserves to be followed without being interpreted in isolation.
The Stock Remains Below Its 200-Day Average Despite a RSI Returning to Neutral Zone
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At €44.96, the price is above the MM20 at €44.16 and the MM50 at €43.52, but remains 4.5% below the MM200 at €47.08. The latter, which had served as a ceiling during the rebound on May 18 at €46.56, continues to materialize the dynamic medium-term resistance. The RSI at 55 appears in the neutral zone, without signaling extremes.
The MACD remains positive, with a line at 0.91 above its signal at 0.59, reflecting the short-term bullish dynamic that had been established since the beginning of May. The stock retains a margin before its support at €38.62, and the major resistance is at €47.88.
The decline of the day occurs while the SBF 120 gains 0.43% in session, which accentuates the relative underperformance of the stock. The next technical deadline to watch remains the crossing of the 200-day moving average, a threshold that the stock has not managed to sustainably reclaim for several months.
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Context
Period
Period: FY2026
Key reported figures
Revenue: 23 963 millions d'euros
Revenue growth: -0,5 %
Net income: 304 millions d'euros
Free cash flow: 379 millions d'euros
2 872 millions d'euros
Guidance from the release
Résultats de l'exercice 2026 : croissance interne au-dessus des objectifs ; perspectives confirmées pour l'exercice 2027
Risks mentioned
Facteurs opérationnels pesant sur la marge tout au long de l'exercice
Enjeux d'exécution opérationnelle marqués en Amérique du Nord
Baisse de l'EBITDA reflétant les charges et provisions liées à la revue des contrats et actifs
Opportunities identified
Contrat mondial avec Meta montant progressivement en puissance au cours de l'exercice 2027
Croissance interne soutenue en Reste du Monde (+9,7%), notamment en Inde, Australie et Brésil
Santé & Séniors enregistre une forte croissance portée par la montée en puissance de nouveaux contrats
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: 24 562 millions d'euros
Management commentary: Sodexo confirme les perspectives pour l'exercice 2027 présentées lors de son Investor Update de juillet 2026 : une croissance interne du chiffre d'affaires comprise entre +2% et +3% ; une marge d'exploitation globalement en ligne avec les 3,4% atteints sur l'exercice 2026, reflet de la poursuite des investissements visant à renforcer les capacités et à restaurer la compétitivité
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.