Sopra Steria Stock Breaks Through Its €141.80 Resistance and Moves Above the 200-Day Moving Average
Sopra Steria's stock continues its recovery that began in late April, breaking through a closely watched technical threshold during the session. The stock thus erases much of the decline accumulated since the beginning of the year and approaches a key medium-term level.
Breaking Through €141.80 Brings the Stock Back to Its 200-Day Average
Sopra Steria's stock rose by 2.82% to €142.10 in mid-afternoon trading, alongside a 0.54% rise in the CAC 40. The stock broke through its €141.80 resistance, previously identified several times in recent weeks, and remains above it. This movement brings the weekly gain to 8.47% and the three-month performance to over 17%. However, the stock still shows a decline of nearly 27% over the year. The breakthrough occurs just as it reaches the 200-day moving average (MM200) at €141.34, which it now slightly exceeds by 0.54%. The stock is also significantly above its 50-day moving average (MM50) at €126.17 and its 20-day moving average (MM20) at €131.90, indicating a solidly re-established short-term momentum. The RSI at 59 remains in a neutral zone, without an overbought configuration. This move above the long-term average extends the rebound that began in late April following the announcement of first-quarter sales, which marked a return to organic growth.
Short Positions Increase Over Thirty Days Despite Price Recovery
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According to reviewed statements, four funds cumulatively hold 3.27% of the capital sold short, up from 2.29% a month earlier, an increase of nearly one point. This rise reflects continued caution among some institutional investors, even as the stock price has recovered. This signal should be monitored without overinterpretation: it remains far from levels that would mechanically weigh on the trading price. In terms of valuation, the stock is trading at approximately 8.0 times the earnings expected for the current fiscal year and 7.5 times those of the next fiscal year, according to the consensus of surveyed analysts, with an estimated earnings per share (EPS) growth of 7.2% from one year to the next. The next technical milestone is now around €145, a zone tested at the beginning of May during the previous peak at €144.80. The maintenance above the MM200 in the upcoming sessions will be the observable element to assess the solidity of the breakthrough.
Relèvement de l'objectif annuel de croissance organique. Cette progression, conjuguée à nos perspectives pour le second semestre, nous permet de relever notre objectif annuel
Risks mentioned
Impact dilutif de 1,8 point lié à l'arrêt du programme SFT, environ 2 points attendus par trimestre
Hausse temporaire du taux de sous-traitance pesant sur la marge en France (9,5 % contre 10,2 %)
Pays-Bas encore en décroissance modérée, Allemagne et Belgique quasi stables
Opportunities identified
Relèvement de l'objectif annuel de croissance organique à +2,0 % / +2,5 %
Croissance forte de l'aéronautique (+12 %) et de la défense-sécurité-espace (+10 %)
Acquisitions de Starion et Nexova créant un acteur européen du spatial et de la cybersécurité
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: 5 800 millions d'euros
Management commentary: Flux net de trésorerie disponible d'environ 5 % du chiffre d'affaires
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.
