AXA Shares Hit a New All-Time High, Targeting the 45 € Mark
The French insurer continues its climb, reaching a new all-time high this Monday morning. The stock has broken through its psychological resistance in an upward-trending CAC 40, driven by several cyclical stocks. The bullish momentum that began in the spring is confirmed session after session.
The Stock Breaks Its Resistance at 44.80 € and Hits an All-Time High of 44.86 €
AXA's stock gains 0.13% at 44.86 € mid-morning, after reaching a historic high of 44.86 € during the session. The stock has broken through its 44.80 € resistance and is maintaining above it, extending a series of records that began in late June. The progress amounts to 5.55% over the month and 7.09% over the year. The CAC 40 is up by 0.32% at 8,365 points, led by Publicis, Stellantis, and Kering. AXA ranks in the middle of the Parisian index, but its movement is part of a continuous upward trend: the stock has already set several successive all-time highs starting early July, first at 44.22 € on July 6, and then at a new record two weeks ago. The next round milestone at 45.00 € is the immediate prospective marker above the current price.
RSI at 71 in a Tight Zone and More Than 12% Above the MM200
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In terms of indicators, the RSI is at 71, in the overbought zone, a signal consistent with the acceleration observed in recent weeks. The price is above its MM20 (43.81 €, a gap of 2.40%) and MM50 (41.70 €, a gap of 7.58%), while the gap to the MM200 (40.01 €) reaches 12.12%. This gradual detachment from the moving averages reflects the magnitude of the underlying movement since the spring. The sectoral context remains supportive: life insurance collection in France has grown by 7% year-on-year as of April 2026, with a 33% share in unit-linked products, while non-life premiums show strong growth. The bullish momentum observed in early July thus continues, in an environment of still high short-term rates (Euribor 3M at 2.34%) favorable to insurers' investments. The 45.00 € threshold is the next technical marker to watch.
we expect underlying earnings of circa. Euro 8.6 billion with underlying EPS growth at the top end of the target range
Risks mentioned
Softening market conditions in large commercial P&C
Natural catastrophe exposure with normalized Nat Cat load of 4.5 points of combined ratio
Interest rate sensitivity with -50bp interest rates shock expected to result in -1pt impact in Solvency II ratio
Opportunities identified
Growth in Life & Savings segment driven by ageing populations and pressure on existing systems
Expansion in direct distribution channel with rising demand for affordable insurance and digital experiences
Deployment of AI across value chain with expected annual recurring benefits of €500-700m (pre-tax) by 2029
Outlook / guidance
Expected EBITDA: 500 millions d'euros
Expected net income: 8 600 millions d'euros
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.