A decline of 1.81% that keeps the price above its three moving averages
The Carrefour share falls 1.81% to €16.31, a movement slightly more pronounced than that of the CAC 40, which loses 1.33%. The stock is ranked among the declining values of the index, without appearing at the bottom of the table, where Stellantis, Accor and Airbus retreat by 2.6% to 3.8%. This decline occurs following a period of gains: the stock retains 2.1% gain over the week and remains above its MA20 (gap of 1.37%) as well as its MA200 (2.64%).
The RSI at 60 is neutral. The mid-October rebound had brought the stock back above its moving averages, and today's decline does not call into question this configuration. The support at €15.46 is nearly 5% below the price, resistance at €16.81 is approximately 3% above.
A €152 million buyback and revenue figures expected on October 20
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Carrefour signed an agreement on Monday to acquire Codifrance from Colruyt, an operation valued at €152 million. Codifrance is an affiliation specialist that supplies approximately 3,100 customers in France, a supply and support model for independent retailers in which the retailer is already present through its Proxi banner. The group had also announced on October 8 the disposal of 35 stores for €290 million, of which it will remain the tenant. In terms of valuation, the stock trades at approximately 9.4 times the earnings of the current fiscal year, according to the consensus of surveyed analysts.
At the publication of the first half of 2026 (July 23), the group had confirmed its annual targets, including a €1 billion cost-saving plan that had already generated €490 million by that date. Third-quarter revenue will be published on October 20.
Objectifs 2026 confirmes : croissance du ROC, marge operationnelle en hausse de plus de 25 pbs vs 2025, cash-flow libre net en croissance vs 2025 (1 565 M€), resultat net ajuste par action en croissance dans le haut de la fourchette a un chiffre. Plan d'economies de 1 Md€ confirme (490 M€ realises au S1).
Risks mentioned
Résultat non courant dégradé à -165 M€ contre -39 M€ au S1 2025
ROC des Autres pays à -34 M€, fortement pénalisé par l'Argentine
Marge commerciale en baisse de -28 pbs à 19,1 % du CA lié aux investissements prix
Opportunities identified
490 M€ d'économies de coûts réalisées au S1, en ligne avec l'objectif de 1 Md€ pour 2026
Objectif confirmé de 130 M€ de synergies Cora & Match à horizon 2027
Cession de Carrefour Roumanie finalisée pour environ 500 M€ et recentrage sur 3 pays cœur
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
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