Dassault Aviation stock surges 9% over the week, heading toward its 200-day moving average
The Rafale manufacturer is recovering in mid-afternoon trading, in a well-oriented Paris market. The stock is extending a movement initiated at the start of the week and is approaching an important technical threshold.
A stock rebounding above its short-term averages, just below the 200-day moving average
The Dassault Aviation stock gains 2.01% to €304, after advancing nearly 9% over the week. This rebound places it above the 20-day moving average (€286.91, a difference of 5.96%) and the 50-day moving average (€292.28), while the stock remains slightly below its 200-day moving average at €306.61, a difference of 0.85%. The RSI at 60 and a positive MACD histogram describe a buying dynamic that is established without excess.
Rafale Export deliveries and the Indian file fuel the underlying story
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When releasing first-half 2026 results on July 22, the group reported 12 Rafale aircraft delivered in the first half (10 for export and 2 for France), compared to 7 a year earlier. It also mentioned entering into arm's length negotiations with India for 114 aircraft. The same document flagged a slightly declining order book at €45.4 billion compared to €46.6 billion, and the halt of the SCAF/NGF program in French-German cooperation.
Among comparable stocks, Thales gains 3.29% and Safran 0.44% this Friday, while the SBF 120 advances 0.47%. The 200-day moving average at €306.61, less than 1% from the current price, is the next level to break through.
SectorAéronautique et Défense›Aéronautique / spatiale
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Context
Period
Period: S1 2026
Key reported figures
Revenue: 4 157 millions d'euros
Quarterly revenue: 4 157 millions d'euros
Revenue growth: 45,7 %
Net income: 361,6 millions d'euros
-10 099 millions d'euros
Guidance from the release
La guidance 2026 est inchangée : chiffre d'affaires 2026 en hausse
Risks mentioned
Carnet de commandes en léger repli (45,4 Md€ vs 46,6 Md€) malgré la livraison de 23 Falcon au S1 2026
Arrêt du programme SCAF/NGF en coopération franco-allemande, avec alternative à définir
Réduction des prises de commandes Défense (1 024 M€ vs 7 172 M€) liée à l'absence de nouvelle grande commande Rafale
Opportunities identified
Accélération de la livraison de Rafale Export : 12 Rafale livrées au S1 2026 (10 Export + 2 France) vs 7 au S1 2025
Négociation pour contrat de 114 Rafale avec l'Inde (Decision d'entrer en négociation gré à gré)
Programme Falcon 10X en phase d'essais en vol depuis juin 2026, entrée en service prévue 2029
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: 8 500 millions d'euros
Management commentary: chiffre d'affaires 2026 en hausse par rapport à celui de 2025, classe 8,5 milliards d'euros (dont la livraison de 40 Falcon et 28 Rafale)
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.