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FDJ United Shares Bounce 2.5% and Climb to the Top of the SBF 120

FDJ United's stock continues its recovery during the session, extending the bounce that started from its multi-year lows reached at the end of June. The stock is among the leaders in the SBF 120 in a well-oriented Parisian market at midday.


FDJ United Shares Bounce 2.5% and Climb to the Top of the SBF 120

A Rebound that Realigns the Stock with its Short-Term Moving Averages

FDJ United shares gain 2.43% to €22.76, among the strongest rises in the SBF 120 as the index itself advances by 0.45%. The stock has moved back above its MM20 (€22.32) and is now touching its MM50 at €22.73, a threshold it had not crossed for several weeks. The RSI at 45 remains neutral, which leaves room before a possible overbought configuration. The MM200 at €24.26, still 6.18% above the current price, represents the medium-term downward slope that the stock needs to overcome. The movement extends the recovery that began last week, after reaching a post-Covid crash low at the end of June. Over a week, the stock now shows a gain of 5.71%, while still showing a decline of 12.6% over three months and 30.69% over a year. The resistance at €23.32 is the next technical milestone visible on the chart, while the support at €21.33 frames the movement from below.

High Short Positions Remain Despite a Slight Decrease

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According to reviewed statements, four funds accumulate 6.88% of the capital sold short, a level that remains significant even though it has decreased by 0.76 points over thirty days (from 7.64% a month earlier). This positioning reflects the presence of institutional investors still betting on a decline or seeking to hedge an exposure, in a context where the stock has lost nearly a third of its value over a year. The slow decline of this cumulative short accompanies the recent rebound of the price without yet indicating a clear turnaround. Regarding valuation, the stock is trading at about 9.7 times the expected earnings for the current fiscal year and 8.4 times those of the following year, according to the consensus of analysts surveyed, with an estimated EPS growth of 14.4% from one year to the next. The sustained crossing of the MM50 at €22.73 remains the immediate technical reference to monitor to assess the strength of the rebound.



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Context

Period
  • Period: 9M 2025
Guidance from the release
  • L’évolution du chiffre d’affaires à fin septembre reflète le recul des paris et jeux en ligne sur certains marchés et l’impact de l’augmentation de la fiscalité sur les jeux ; le Groupe approfondit son plan de transformation et de performance dès 2025.
  • 9M 2025 : CA publié 2 730 M€ (+30,2 % publié) ; à données retraitées -2,1 % en raison notamment de l’intégration Kindred et des hausses de fiscalité. T3 2025 : CA 864 M€ (-3,0 % à données retraitées). PBJ et PNJ en léger retrait ; impacts fiscaux (21 M€ au T3, dont 18 M€ en France) et durcissement réglementaire aux Pays-Bas et au Royaume?Uni affectent la BU Paris et jeux en ligne. Objectifs 2025 précisés : CA > 3,7 Mds€, EBITDA courant ~900 M€, marge EBITDA > 24 %.
Risks mentioned
  • Augmentation de la fiscalité sur les jeux (France, Pays-Bas, Roumanie) impactant le chiffre d’affaires
  • Durcissement réglementaire aux Pays-Bas et au Royaume?Uni
  • Résultats sportifs défavorables affectant les paris sportifs
  • Intégration / périmètre post-acquisition (Kindred) et comparables retraités
Opportunities identified
  • Déploiement des plateformes propriétaires (KSP) et migrations terminées au Royaume?Uni
  • Lancements commerciaux (32Red en Roumanie, relancement d’Otto Casino en Suède) et nouveau jackpot trans-marchés
  • Plan de performance 2025-2028 visant à réduire les coûts
  • Politique de dividende attractive avec distribution d’au moins 75 % du résultat net ajusté

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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