Forvia stock among the strongest gains in the SBF 120 this Friday

A session recovery that does not yet close the gap to medium-term moving averages

Forvia is trading at €8.70 at mid-morning, up 3.32% compared to the previous close at €8.42. This rebound brings the stock back above its support level at €8.42, which it had almost touched during the previous difficult session, but the price remains below its three moving averages: the 20-day MA at €9.26 (6% above the current price), the 50-day MA at €9.13 (4.67% above the current price) and the 200-day MA at €10.74, nearly 19% higher. This triple technical ceiling has weighed on momentum for several weeks.

The RSI at 38, near the oversold zone without entering it, illustrates the selling exhaustion of recent weeks without signaling a clear reversal. Over one month, the stock is down 2.33%, and over one year, the decline reaches nearly 25%.

High bearish bets on the stock, against a backdrop of tension on French market rates

According to disclosed statements, four funds have accumulated 3.95% of the capital sold short, a level virtually stable over thirty days (was at 3.96% a month ago). This volume of net short positions, above the threshold generally considered significant, reflects a non-negligible fraction of institutional investors positioned bearishly on the security, without it being possible to know the precise motives. The slight contraction in the cumulative figure over one month suggests monitoring this point without drawing definitive conclusions on the stock's direction. The session is also taking place in a tense French macro context: the 10-year OAT is raised to 4.90% on October 1, 2026, at the highest point of the series available since 2002, with a spread versus the German Bund at its widest since May 2012.

On October 1, the government introduced a finance bill for 2027 targeting a deficit of 5.0% of GDP, the adoption of which by the National Assembly remains uncertain. This context maintains a risk premium on French assets in general. The resistance at €9.93 represents the next chart reference for Forvia, a threshold that had been briefly breached in early September before being lost again.