Safran Rises 2.45%, Shares Reach €300 and Challenge Key Resistance at €305.70
The aerospace engine manufacturer has made a strong recovery at midday this Thursday, after losing ground the previous day. The stock benefits from a significantly bullish CAC 40 and re-enters a technical zone that has been closely watched for several sessions.
A Significant Rebound Brings the Stock Back to Its 200-Day Moving Average
Safran shares gain 2.45% to €301.00, while the CAC 40 advances by 0.99% to 8,230.91 points. The stock is among the top gainers in the Paris index. Over a month, the increase reaches 10.26%, although the three-month performance remains negative at -6.38%. Today's rebound brings the price just above the 200-day moving average, located at €299.82, after the stock had struggled at this benchmark on Wednesday. The shorter averages, MM20 at €288.38 and MM50 at €288.49, are now surpassed by just over 4%, indicating a regained short-term momentum. The RSI at 53 remains neutral, leaving room for movement before reaching any tension zone, while the identified resistance at €305.70 is approaching.
Medium-Term Dynamics Still Dependent on Geopolitical Context in the Middle East
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The movement occurs as Donald Trump mentioned on Wednesday the possibility of a diplomatic agreement with Iran as soon as this weekend, after several months of open conflict. However, Tehran immediately dampened this optimism, stating that no tangible progress had been made. The European aerospace sector, sensitive to oil price fluctuations and regional stability, closely follows these statements, which indirectly impact the costs of air transport and thus the client companies of engine manufacturers. Previous sessions reflect this sensitivity: the stock paused on Monday due to a surge in oil prices, before weakening on Wednesday at a technical barrier. Over a year, the performance remains positive at 13.58%. The next graphical benchmark to watch is the resistance at €305.70, whose breach would pave the way to the peaks reached earlier in the year.
"2025 a été une année remarquable pour nos activités, portées par un trafic passagers record et une dynamique soutenue dans la défense."
Safran publie des résultats annuels 2025 solides: chiffre d'affaires consolidé de 31,189 milliards d'euros (+12,5 % YoY), résultat opérationnel courant consolidé de 4,787 milliards d'euros (+14,4 %), EBITDA de 6,318 milliards d'euros, cash-flow libre de 3,921 milliards d'euros; perspectives 2026: CA attendu en hausse de 12-15 %, COI entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et FCF entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, ambi tions 2028 relevées.
Risks mentioned
Capacités de production de la chaîne d’approvisionnement
Opportunities identified
Croissance soutenue des activités d’après-vente et défense
Livraisons et contenu des services liés au LEAP et à l’aéronautique civile
Dynamique du trafic aérien favorable et extension des commandes dans la défense
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: Le chiffre d'affaires 2026 est attendu entre 12 % et 15 % de hausse par rapport à l'année 2025.
Expected EBITDA: EBITDA 2026 attendu entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros.
Management commentary: Pour 2026, Safran prévoit une croissance du chiffre d'affaires entre 12 % et 15 %, un résultat opérationnel courant entre 6,1 et 6,2 milliards d'euros et un flux de trésorerie libre entre 4,4 et 4,6 milliards d'euros, sous réserve de l'exécution des livraisons et du calendrier de paiement des États clients.
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