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Last updated : 24/04/2026 - 17h35
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Valneva Stock Enters Oversold Territory After a 37.5% Drop Over Three Months

Valneva shares fell more than 3% this Thursday morning, dropping to 2.609 euros. The decline is part of a marked downward trend, with a nearly 37.5% decrease over three months. The CAC 40 is also down during the session by 0.72%.


Valneva Stock Enters Oversold Territory After a 37.5% Drop Over Three Months

Morning Trading Update

In mid-morning trading, Valneva is being traded at 2.609 euros, down 3.01% from the previous day's close of 2.69 euros. The stock is dangerously approaching its support level at 2.58 euros, a breach of which could lead to a new phase of decline. Over the week, the loss has already reached 7.55%. From a technical analysis perspective, the RSI stands at 29, indicating an oversold condition for the stock. Moreover, the price is significantly below its 50-day moving average of 4.08 euros and its 200-day average of 3.88 euros, confirming the underlying bearish trend. The stock's position in the lower part of the Bollinger Bands—at only 24% of the range between the lower boundary (1.67 euros) and the upper boundary (5.57 euros)—illustrates the magnitude of selling pressure accumulated in recent weeks.

Accelerated Deterioration in Valneva's Stock Price

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The deterioration of Valneva's stock price has accelerated since the beginning of the year, with the stock showing a decline of nearly 37.5% over three months. Over a year, the performance remains negative at -12.57%. The Franco-Austrian vaccine specialist is experiencing a period of high volatility, measured at 23.21 over the past month, while its negative beta of -0.33 indicates a historically market-decoupled evolution. The next key dates on the financial calendar are the first quarter results scheduled for May 7, 2026, followed by the annual general meeting on June 1. These events will be closely monitored by the market to assess the operational trajectory of the group. In the European pharmaceutical sector, today's session shows mixed profiles: Sanofi is up by 0.36% while UCB is down by 0.97%, with no direct link to Valneva's own dynamics.



Sector Santé · Pharmacie Industrie Pharmaceutique


Assurance vie

Context

Period
  • Period: 9M 2025
Guidance from the release
  • Au troisième trimestre, nous avons continué à nous concentrer sur le renforcement de notre trésorerie, ce qui nous a permis de refinancer notre dette à des conditions financières plus avantageuses.
  • Chiffre d’affaires de 127,0 millions d’euros sur neuf mois (+8,9 %), ventes de 119,4 millions d’euros, trésorerie de 143,5 millions d’euros au 30/09/2025, perte nette 65,2 millions d’euros, EBITDA ajusté (37,7) millions d’euros. Guidance 2025 confirmée : chiffre d’affaires attendu entre 165 et 180 millions d’euros; ventes attendues entre 155 et 170 millions d'euros. Renforcement de la position financière via refinancement et ATMs; Phase 3 VALOR pour le vaccin Lyme en cours selon calendrier.
Risks mentioned
  • Suspension de la licence IXCHIQ ® aux États-Unis par la FDA (impact sur ventes segment voyageurs)
  • Risque de résultats cliniques défavorables pour les candidats (phase 3 VALOR pour Lyme, essais S4V2, VLA1601 incertitudes réglementaires)
  • Exposition aux fluctuations de change (impact négatif mentionné de 1,3 millions d’euros sur ventes, effets de change volontaires)
  • Dépendance à des partenaires de distribution et diminution des produits de tiers (arrêt de distribution de Rabipur/RabAvert et Encepur)
Opportunities identified
  • Résultats positifs potentiels de la Phase 3 VALOR (VLA15) pouvant mener à des demandes d'autorisation en 2026
  • Accord commercial avec CSL Seqirus en Allemagne pour stimuler la commercialisation des vaccins
  • Croissance des ventes d'IXCHIQ ® sur les marchés hors États-Unis et dans les PRFI (livraisons de substance active)
  • Potentiel du candidat S4V2 contre la shigellose (marché estimé > 500 millions de dollars/an)
  • Données positives de Phase 1 pour VLA1601 (Zika) et forte persistance d'anticorps pour IXCHIQ ® (95 % à 4 ans) comme avantage concurrentiel

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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