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ABIVAX Stock: Shares Fall 5.74% Over the Past Week

ABIVAX stock closed at €115.00 on Friday, marking a 5.74% decline for the week of December 24 to January 2. This trend contrasts with the positive performance of the SBF 120, which increased by 1.14% during the same period. Despite this recent downturn, the stock maintains an impressive annual performance of 1,601%.


ABIVAX Stock: Shares Fall 5.74% Over the Past Week

Weekly Performance Overview

Over the past week, ABIVAX's share price followed a downward trajectory, closing at €115.00 on Friday, January 2, down from €122.00 on the previous December 24. The weekly change amounted to -5.74%, a movement in contrast to the moderate rises in the CAC 40 (+1.13%) and SBF 120 (+1.14%). Trading was particularly brisk mid-week: December 29 saw a volume of 197,523 shares, followed by 85,179 on December 30, while volumes were more moderate on other days, with 66,781 shares on January 2 and 50,046 on December 24. The stock reached a weekly high of €128.40 on December 29, before falling to a low of €114.20 the same day, showing significant volatility with a monthly standard deviation of 25.91%. In the long term, the performance remains exceptional: +1,601% over one year, +1,651% over six months, and +222% over five years, placing ABIVAX among the top gainers in the SBF 120 in 2025, with an annual increase highlighted at over 1,600%. Analyst consensus points to a three-month target price of €120.47, representing a potential of 1.58% relative to the recent close. The particularly low beta of 0.01 indicates a weak correlation with the overall market, reinforcing the specific profile of this biopharmaceutical value. These technical and fundamental elements frame a week of correction after recent peaks around €128.

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Technical analysis reveals an intermediate positioning for the stock. The 50-day moving average is at €99.19, while the 200-day average stands at €49.66, with the current price of €115.00 significantly above both benchmarks. The upper Bollinger Band reaches €128.16 and the lower band at €86.79, thus framing the recent fluctuations around the resistance threshold of €122.40 and the support at €93.30. The MACD indicator displays a line at 4.93, and the RSI stabilizes at 50, signaling a balance without excessive selling or buying. The 20-day moving average, estimated at around €107.50 based on recent data, also supports the underlying bullish trend. These technical levels depict a scenario where the stock oscillates in a neutral zone in the short term, after testing the week's highs. The recent absolute high at €128.40 contrasts with the weekly low at €114.20, confirming high volatility compatible with the biotech sector. On Euronext Paris, daily trading shows alternating daily changes: +0.33% on December 29 at €122.40, -5.23% on December 30 at €116.00, +3.79% on December 31 at €120.40, and -4.32% on January 2 at €115.20 during the session, before stabilizing at €115.00 at close. These fluctuations occur in a context of variable volumes, with a peak of 197,523 shares on December 29. On a broader scale, historical performances reinforce resilience: +62.59% over three months and +8.85% over one month, despite the weekly decline. Analyst forecasts for 2025 and 2026 indicate an estimated net earnings per share of -€3.06 and -€2.99 respectively, with no dividend.



Sector Santé · Biotechnologies · Pharmacie Biotechnologie


Assurance vie

Context

Period
  • Period: 3T 2025
Guidance from the release
  • Trésorerie et équivalents de trésorerie de 589,7 millions d'euros au 30/09/2025 ; perte nette de 254,1 millions d'euros sur les neuf mois ; produit net d'ADS d'environ 700,3 millions de dollars (?597,2 M€) en juillet 2025 ; position financière nette de 543,3 millions d'euros ; autonomie financière attendue jusqu'au T4 2027. Hausse significative des dépenses R&D et des charges G&A.
Risks mentioned
  • Risques inhérents à la recherche et au développement clinique
  • Risque lié aux décisions des autorités réglementaires (FDA, EMA)
  • Risque de disponibilité insuffisante de fonds pour couvrir les dépenses d'exploitation futures
  • Obstacles potentiels au développement clinique et pharmaceutique (données précliniques, CMC, toxicologie, etc.)
Opportunities identified
  • Avancement des essais de phase 3 d'Obefazimod en rectocolite hémorragique
  • Présentations 'late-breaking' et résultats favorables communiqués lors de congrès scientifiques
  • Produit net élevé de l'offre d'ADS prolongeant l'autonomie financière jusqu'au T4 2027

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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