Capgemini's Stock Approaches Its Key Support Level at €87.82 After a 3% Drop
The digital services group's stock is declining during the session, amidst a heavily red CAC 40. This slide extends a long-term downward movement and brings the stock back to its most closely watched technical support.
A Retreat That Brings the Stock Back to the €87.82 Support Level
Capgemini's stock is down 3.03% at €90.98 during the session, while the CAC 40 is down 2.24%. The stock is part of a Parisian index shaken by renewed tensions in the Middle East, following US strikes in Iran and Tehran's claimed retaliation in the Gulf. The VIX jumps nearly 20%, indicating a sharp increase in market nervousness. Today's decline extends a significant trend: the stock has lost nearly 34% over the year and more than 10% over the month. It is trading below its three moving averages, with a 22% gap below the MM200 at €116.60, reflecting the depth of the bearish movement. The price returns to the €87.82 support level, already identified at the end of June as a closely monitored technical threshold. The RSI at 50 remains neutral, with no marked oversold configuration despite the repetition of bearish sessions.
Selling Pressure Intensifies Ahead of the Semi-Annual Report
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Over thirty days, the cumulative net short position declared on the capital has increased from 0.69% to 2.46%, driven by four funds according to the reviewed declarations. A nearly 1.8-point increase in a month reflects a rise in distrust by some institutional managers, while still remaining at a moderate level relative to the capitalization. This tension sets in as Capgemini enters its quiet period before the publication of the semi-annual accounts, as reminded by a previous session of decline. In terms of valuation, the stock is trading at about 7 times the expected earnings for the current fiscal year according to the consensus of surveyed analysts, with an expected EPS growth of 6.7% from one year to the next. In the United States, its counterpart Accenture is up 3.78%, a divergence that contrasts with previous episodes where Capgemini had followed its counterpart downward. The behavior of the €87.82 support will be the key technical observation for the upcoming sessions.
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Context
Period
Period: T3 2026
Key reported figures
Revenue: 6 073 millions d'euros
Quarterly revenue: 6 073 millions d'euros
Revenue growth: 12,6 %
Guidance from the release
« Forts de ce trimestre, nous relevons notre objectif de croissance du chiffre d'affaires pour 2026, désormais compris entre +9,0 % et +9,5 % à taux de change constants, tout en confirmant nos objectifs de marge opérationnelle et de free cash flow organique. »
Opportunities identified
Demande croissante pour la transformation des entreprises par l'IA agentique
Modernisation de l'infrastructure technologique et déploiement du nouveau stack technologique
Opportunités dans le secteur de la défense et autour des enjeux de souveraineté
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: 24 543 millions d'euros
Management commentary: « Pour l'exercice 2026, le Groupe vise désormais les objectifs financiers suivants : Une croissance à taux de change constants du chiffre d'affaires de +9,0 % à +9,5 % (contre précédemment de l'ordre de +8,5 % à +9,0 %). »
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Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.