Capgemini stock stalls below €111, trailing the CAC 40
In an almost stable CAC 40, Capgemini is dragging the index down and finds itself at the bottom of the benchmark this Friday. The decline brings the stock back into contact with its twenty-day moving average, against the backdrop of a VIX in sharp decline at 14, signaling a globally serene market.
In contact with the MA20, the stock under pressure from resistance at €111.40
Capgemini is down 1.73% in trading at €108.10, after closing at €110 the previous day. The price is sticking to the twenty-day moving average, set at €108.28, with an almost zero difference of -0.17%: the upward momentum of recent weeks is stalling at this level. In comparison, the MA50 at €99.75 remains well below the price (gap of +8.37%), testifying to a solid rebound over three months (+10.6%), but the MA200 at €111.59 weighs as resistance above the current price, only 3.1% away.
The RSI at 49 indicates a neutral configuration, without marked upward or downward pressure. The resistance at €111.40, very close to the MA200, forms a coherent technical ceiling that the stock has not yet managed to break through, while support at €86.06 remains far below.
Short positions in sharp decline, a stock valued at less than nine times expected earnings
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The analysts' views on the stock remain to be monitored in this consolidation context, particularly as net short positions have declined significantly in recent weeks. According to the statements consulted, three funds now hold 1.78% of capital sold short, compared to 3.05% thirty days ago, representing a reduction of 1.27 percentage points. This rapid unwinding of bearish bets deserves to be noted without being overestimated: it reflects a lower bearish conviction among these institutional players, not necessarily a buy signal.
Furthermore, on the basis of expected earnings per share, the stock trades at approximately 8.5 times current fiscal year earnings and 7.9 times the following fiscal year's earnings according to the consensus of surveyed analysts, with expected earnings per share growth of +8.2% from one fiscal year to the next. The next threshold to watch remains the €111.40-€111.59 zone, which concentrates graphical resistance and MA200.
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Context
Period
Period: T3 2026
Key reported figures
Revenue: 6 073 millions d'euros
Quarterly revenue: 6 073 millions d'euros
Revenue growth: 12,6 %
Guidance from the release
« Forts de ce trimestre, nous relevons notre objectif de croissance du chiffre d'affaires pour 2026, désormais compris entre +9,0 % et +9,5 % à taux de change constants, tout en confirmant nos objectifs de marge opérationnelle et de free cash flow organique. »
Opportunities identified
Demande croissante pour la transformation des entreprises par l'IA agentique
Modernisation de l'infrastructure technologique et déploiement du nouveau stack technologique
Opportunités dans le secteur de la défense et autour des enjeux de souveraineté
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: 24 543 millions d'euros
Management commentary: « Pour l'exercice 2026, le Groupe vise désormais les objectifs financiers suivants : Une croissance à taux de change constants du chiffre d'affaires de +9,0 % à +9,5 % (contre précédemment de l'ordre de +8,5 % à +9,0 %). »
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.