Carmila Shares Drop 2.5% Despite Rising Rents in the First Quarter
Carmila experienced a significant decline on Friday, April 24, moving against the trend of a strong quarterly report. The shopping center manager, backed by Carrefour, suffers from an unfavorable stock market environment, with the CAC 40 dropping more than 1% during the session. The stock is trading at 17.14 euros, down 2.5% from the previous day's close.
The decline in the stock occurred after the publication of the first quarter 2026 revenue. Carmila reported a 1.2% organic growth in net rents, exceeding the indexing effect by 80 basis points. This figure demonstrates the group's ability to create rental value beyond the automatic revaluation of leases. However, the performance is mixed regarding the activity of the brands. The revenue of merchants in the portfolio centers only increased by 1.1% during the period, driven by Spain, while France saw a decline of 0.6%. This geographical imbalance illustrates a fragile domestic consumption in a context where the surge in energy prices could further weigh on household purchasing power. The next financial calendar milestone is set for May 12 with the annual general meeting, followed by the semi-annual results on July 28.
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At 17.14 euros, Carmila's share price has fallen below its 50-day moving average of 17.35 euros, after having crossed it upwards in recent weeks. This bearish crossover signals a weakening of the short-term trend, as the stock has declined by 3.7% over seven days. The 200-day moving average, currently at 17.04 euros, now serves as a first technical reference point to watch if the decline continues. The market context is not favorable for real estate companies this Friday. The CAC 40 is down 1.05% during the session, while the SBF 120 drops 1%. Among the values related to real estate and infrastructure, Vinci drops 1.95% and Schneider Electric 1.47%. Across the Atlantic, comparable listed U.S. real estate companies, such as Simon Property Group (+0.98%) and Prologis (+0.65%), however, ended in the green at their last close, indicating that the selling pressure remains concentrated on the European market for now.
Carmila is confidently reiterating its objectives for 2026
Risks mentioned
No new supply and increasing scarcity of profitable spaces may limit future expansion opportunities
Interest rate sensitivity despite current full hedging in 2026-2027, potentially impacting cost of capital for future acquisitions
Retail market concentration in Western Europe and exposure to economic downturn affecting footfall and retailer demand
Opportunities identified
Accretive acquisition of Grand Quetigny (Dijon) generating rental uplift and innovation-based revenues leveraging Carmila's asset management expertise
Rising retailer demand and occupancy expansion (96.0%, +70 bps) supporting sustainable rental revenue growth across three countries
Innovation-driven revenues (Specialty leasing, Retail media, Next Tower, Marketing services) from 620 million annual visits
Outlook / guidance
Management commentary: Carmila is confidently reiterating its objectives for 2026 and expects to generate recurring earnings per share of €1.87.
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.