Carrefour's Stock Bounces Over 2% and Recovers Key Averages
The retailer's stock stands out in a positively oriented CAC 40 and ranks among the top performers of the Parisian index. The stock regains momentum after a previous session weighed down by a surge in oil prices, and recovers ground against its medium-term technical benchmarks.
The Stock Moves Above Its 20 and 50-Day Moving Averages
Carrefour's stock gains 2.14% to €16.67, in a CAC 40 that is up by 0.95%. The stock ranks among the highest risers in the CAC 40, trailing behind STMicroelectronics, LVMH, and ArcelorMittal. This rise offsets part of the monthly decline of 2.86% and brings the weekly gain to 4.61%. Technically, the session allows the price to move back above the 20-day moving average (MM20) at €16.55 and the 50-day moving average (MM50) at €16.58, both of which were lost during Monday's decline linked to the surge in oil prices. The 200-day moving average (MM200) at €14.49 remains well behind, over 15% below the current price, confirming the underlying bullish trend, fueled by an annual performance of nearly 29%. The RSI at 48 remains neutral, without any excess in either direction.
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The session extends a movement that began late last week, as the group finalized in early June an operation of repurchasing €200 million in bonds and placing €750 million due in 2034, aimed at smoothing the debt maturity profile. This operation is part of the strategy to optimize the debt maturity profile of the group. In terms of valuation, the stock is trading at approximately 9.4 times the earnings expected for the current fiscal year and 8.9 times those of the next, according to the consensus of surveyed analysts, with an expected EPS growth of 6.3% from one year to the next. The next technical benchmark on the upside is the resistance identified at €17.46.
Objectifs 2026 confirmes : croissance du ROC, marge operationnelle en hausse de plus de 25 pbs vs 2025, cash-flow libre net en croissance vs 2025 (1 565 M€), resultat net ajuste par action en croissance dans le haut de la fourchette a un chiffre. Plan d'economies de 1 Md€ confirme (490 M€ realises au S1).
Risks mentioned
Résultat non courant dégradé à -165 M€ contre -39 M€ au S1 2025
ROC des Autres pays à -34 M€, fortement pénalisé par l'Argentine
Marge commerciale en baisse de -28 pbs à 19,1 % du CA lié aux investissements prix
Opportunities identified
490 M€ d'économies de coûts réalisées au S1, en ligne avec l'objectif de 1 Md€ pour 2026
Objectif confirmé de 130 M€ de synergies Cora & Match à horizon 2027
Cession de Carrefour Roumanie finalisée pour environ 500 M€ et recentrage sur 3 pays cœur
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