Carrefour's stock shows a 2.17% increase at midday on Monday, February 2, 2026, reaching 14.14 euros. This progress occurs amid recent revisions by several investment banks, which have adjusted their positions on the French retailer.
Carrefour has been subject to adjustments by financial analysts at the end of January. Jefferies revised its position on January 30, changing its recommendation from 'buy' to 'hold', while lowering its price target from 14.50 euros to 14 euros. This new target now implies a potential downside of 1% relative to the current stock price. A week earlier, on January 23, Goldman Sachs also made a revision, maintaining a neutral recommendation on the stock. However, the American bank reduced its target from 16 euros to 15 euros, still suggesting a potential upside of about 6%. These downward adjustments reflect increased caution from analysts a few weeks ahead of the 2025 annual results announcement, scheduled for February 17.
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From a technical perspective, the retailer's stock is currently trading above its 50-day moving average, positioned at 13.83 euros, indicating some short-term support. However, the price is approaching its resistance level at 14.41 euros, which it needs to surpass to continue its upward trajectory. The relative strength index at 38 indicates a territory of relative overselling, suggesting that the stock might have room for a technical rebound. The recent performance of the retail group remains mixed: while the stock has gained 8.35% over three months and 5.1% over a year, it has only increased by 2.09% in the last week. The low one-month volatility, at 4.45%, and an almost zero beta (-0.04) also reflect a relative independence of the stock from market movements. This atypical behavior could reflect dynamics specific to the food retail sector in an uncertain economic environment.
Objectifs 2026 confirmes : croissance du ROC, marge operationnelle en hausse de plus de 25 pbs vs 2025, cash-flow libre net en croissance vs 2025 (1 565 M€), resultat net ajuste par action en croissance dans le haut de la fourchette a un chiffre. Plan d'economies de 1 Md€ confirme (490 M€ realises au S1).
Risks mentioned
Résultat non courant dégradé à -165 M€ contre -39 M€ au S1 2025
ROC des Autres pays à -34 M€, fortement pénalisé par l'Argentine
Marge commerciale en baisse de -28 pbs à 19,1 % du CA lié aux investissements prix
Opportunities identified
490 M€ d'économies de coûts réalisées au S1, en ligne avec l'objectif de 1 Md€ pour 2026
Objectif confirmé de 130 M€ de synergies Cora & Match à horizon 2027
Cession de Carrefour Roumanie finalisée pour environ 500 M€ et recentrage sur 3 pays cœur
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.