Carrefour shares closed this Tuesday, January 20, 2026, at 13.70 euros, down by 1.55% from the previous session. Despite the recent strategic partnership with Google in agentive commerce announced on January 12, the retailer continues to navigate through a zone of uncertainty. However, analysts remain confident, with target prices significantly higher than the current level.
Carrefour saw a decline of 1.55% this Tuesday, settling at 13.70 euros at the end of the session, with only 0.3% of its capital being traded. Over the past week, the decline has intensified to 3.79%. The stock is now trading slightly below its 50-day moving average of 13.71 euros, indicating a hesitant technical momentum. The RSI stands at 42, suggesting the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, but remains under pressure. On January 12, Carrefour joined Google's Universal Commerce Protocol, an open standard that allows AI agents to streamline the online shopping journey. The brand thus becomes the first French and European food retailer to adopt this technology. Customers will eventually be able to purchase directly from Google Search or Gemini, without leaving the Google interface. Despite this strategic announcement, the market did not react positively, with the stock losing ground in the following days.
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Analyst recommendations contrast with the stock's current gloominess. Citi lowered its price target from 19 to 18 euros on January 14, while maintaining a buy recommendation. This target remains 31.4% above the last closing price, indicating significant revaluation potential. In December, Alphavalue also revised its position from buy to accumulate, signaling nuanced confidence in the stock's trajectory. Technically, the retailer is trading within a narrow range defined by a support at 13.43 euros and a resistance at 14.41 euros. The proximity to the lower threshold underscores the current fragility, in a context where the retail sector is going through a period of economic uncertainty. The group awaits its annual results on February 17, 2026, a pivotal date to confirm or refute the operational dynamics.
Objectifs 2026 confirmes : croissance du ROC, marge operationnelle en hausse de plus de 25 pbs vs 2025, cash-flow libre net en croissance vs 2025 (1 565 M€), resultat net ajuste par action en croissance dans le haut de la fourchette a un chiffre. Plan d'economies de 1 Md€ confirme (490 M€ realises au S1).
Risks mentioned
Résultat non courant dégradé à -165 M€ contre -39 M€ au S1 2025
ROC des Autres pays à -34 M€, fortement pénalisé par l'Argentine
Marge commerciale en baisse de -28 pbs à 19,1 % du CA lié aux investissements prix
Opportunities identified
490 M€ d'économies de coûts réalisées au S1, en ligne avec l'objectif de 1 Md€ pour 2026
Objectif confirmé de 130 M€ de synergies Cora & Match à horizon 2027
Cession de Carrefour Roumanie finalisée pour environ 500 M€ et recentrage sur 3 pays cœur
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