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Danone Shares Drop 1.05% at Midday, Oddo BHF Lowers Target to 79 Euros

Danone falls 1.05% to 67.54 euros at midday on Monday, extending its series of declines following the announcement of a targeted recall of batches of infant milk. Oddo BHF lowers its price target from 84 to 79 euros while maintaining an outperform recommendation.


Danone Shares Drop 1.05% at Midday, Oddo BHF Lowers Target to 79 Euros

Continued Decline in Danone's Stock Amid Infant Milk Recall

Danone's stock fell 1.05% this Monday, January 26th, at midday, settling at 67.54 euros after opening at 67.68 euros. The stock thus extends its series of declines that began last week, with a weekly drop of 11.74%. The session follows the announcement on Friday evening of a targeted recall of limited batches of infant milk in certain markets, a decision presented as preventive by the company. No safety defects have been formally established, but the market remains nervous in a context of tensions around this strategic segment. The RSI is now at 28, indicating a technical weakness zone without reaching an extreme oversold level. The stock is significantly below its 50-day moving average, set at 76.21 euros, indicating a break in upward momentum. On Monday, Oddo BHF maintains its outperform recommendation while lowering its price target from 84 euros to 79 euros. Analysts note that the risk of spread can very likely freeze a rebound in the stock until the sector risk is resolved. This caution echoes market concerns following the recall of some batches in Singapore in mid-January after the detection of cereulide toxin.

Mixed Analyst Opinions on Danone's Performance

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The Danone case has seen divergent analyst opinions since the beginning of the month. Following a drop of 8.42% recorded on Wednesday, January 21st, several research offices revised their positions. Barclays lowered its target from 85 to 83 euros on January 23rd while maintaining an overweight recommendation, whereas Bank of America reaffirmed its underperform recommendation with a reduced target from 70 to 69 euros on January 22nd. These adjustments reflect concerns related to the slowdown in birth rates in China, a market that accounts for about 13% of the group's sales and 30% of the adjusted operating income according to estimates. Technically, the stock is approaching its support threshold at 67.40 euros, a level now critical to avoid an acceleration of the correction. The group will publish its annual results for 2025 on February 20th. Investors will scrutinize Danone's ability to confirm its guidance of comparable sales growth between 3% and 5%, and a faster increase in its current operating income, in an environment marked by persistent sectoral and geographical uncertainties.



Sector Agroalimentaire · Grande consommation Produits alimentaires


Assurance vie

Context

Period
  • Period: 2025
Key reported figures
  • Revenue: 27 283 millions d’euros
  • Revenue growth: 4,5 %
  • Net income: 1 825 millions d’euros
  • Free cash flow: 2 799 millions d’euros
  • Net debt: 8 059 millions d’euros
  • Dividend per share: 2,25 euros
Guidance from the release
  • En 2025, nous avons de nouveau enregistré une croissance de qualité sur l’ensemble de nos activités.
  • Publication des résultats annuels 2025 : progression du chiffre d’affaires en données comparables et amélioration de la marge opérationnelle courante, avec une forte performance en Chine et des gains en Europe.

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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