Danone Stock: One Analyst Targets €82, Another €65 – Who is Right?
Danone's stock price is at €70.00 in early afternoon trading, up 1.1% from last Thursday's close at €69.24. This rebound occurs on the same day that two banks have updated their recommendations on the stock, with diametrically opposed views. The publication of the first quarter 2026 revenue, scheduled for April 22, will be the next major event for the food group.
Two analyst recommendations published this April 7 illustrate the differing views on Danone. Jefferies maintains its buy rating while lowering its price target from €86.00 to €82.00, which still represents a potential upside of about 17% from the current price. Conversely, Deutsche Bank keeps its sell recommendation and slightly lowers its target from €66.00 to €65.00, implying a potential decline of about 7%. These two opposite adjustments reflect different readings of the group's prospects. The €17 gap between the two targets indicates a significant disagreement on Danone's ability to improve its margins and accelerate its organic growth in a still uncertain consumption environment. The session takes place in a nearly stable Parisian market, with the CAC 40 up 0.03% at 7,964.70 points, while the SBF 120 is up 0.08%.
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Technically, the stock is priced at €70.00, almost exactly at its 50-day moving average of €70.04, indicating short-term neutrality. The 200-day moving average, significantly higher at €72.96, confirms that the underlying trend has been downward for several months: Danone is still down 6.77% over three months and 3.21% over a year. The RSI is at 49, in a balanced zone, indicating neither overbought nor oversold conditions. The price navigates in the middle range of the Bollinger Bands, with the upper bound at €72.75 and the lower bound at €66.27. The nearest technical support is at €67.16, while the resistance to watch is positioned at €73.60. Among comparable stocks in the session, L'Oréal is down 0.57% and Unilever is down 1.79%, which puts Danone's performance today in perspective.
SectorAgroalimentaire et boissons›Industrie alimentaire
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Context
Period
Period: S1 2026
Key reported figures
Revenue: 13 936 millions d'euros
Quarterly revenue: 13 936 millions d'euros
Revenue growth: 1,4 %
Net income: 1 175 millions d'euros
Free cash flow: 852 millions d'euros
8 975 millions d'euros
Guidance from the release
Objectifs 2026 confirmés, en ligne avec l'ambition moyen-terme
Risks mentioned
Free cash-flow en baisse de -27,3 % à 852 M€ au S1 2026
Dette nette en hausse à 9,0 Md€ contre 8,4 Md€ fin décembre 2025
Effet de change négatif de -3,3 % sur le chiffre d'affaires publié
Opportunities identified
Objectifs 2026 confirmés : croissance comparable entre +3 % et +5 %
Finalisation attendue au S2 2026 des acquisitions MADE Group et Saputo Dairy Australia
Marge des Eaux en forte progression de +196 pb à 13,3 %
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: 28 374 millions d'euros
Management commentary: croissance du chiffre d'affaires en données comparables comprise entre +3% et +5%
The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.
Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.