Dassault Aviation Stock Moves Above its 20-Day Moving Average
The Saint-Cloud aircraft manufacturer regains momentum in the mid-afternoon, in a rising Parisian market. The stock continues the rebound that started earlier in the week, after several challenging sessions that had brought it to levels not seen in several months. Today's movement brings the price back to a closely watched technical threshold.
The Stock Crosses its MA20 and Advances Over 2% During the Session
Dassault Aviation stock gains 2.24% to €292.40, in an SBF 120 up by 0.42%. The stock moves above its 20-day moving average (€290.63), a threshold it had lost several sessions ago. The margin remains slim (+0.61%) and does not yet validate a broader trend reversal. The stock is still 7.02% below its MA50 (€314.47) and 1.53% below its MA200 (€296.95), indicating that the recent weeks' decline still impacts the medium-term dynamics. The RSI at 39 moves out of the lower neutral zone, with no overbought signal. Over seven days, the stock has gained 2.89%, which partially mitigates the quarterly decline of 17.26%. The rebound occurs as the stock had already recovered 2.76% earlier in the week after several sessions of selling pressure.
A Supportive Defense Sector Environment and Recent Industrial Developments
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The movement is part of a generally positive session for European defense stocks. Thales is up 0.62% and Safran increases by 1.82%, in an SBF 120 and a CAC 40 that are well oriented (respectively +0.42% and +0.39%). The identified resistance at €336.60 remains distant, more than 15% above the current price. The support at €275.20 has acted as a low point in the recent downward sequence. On the industrial front, the aircraft manufacturer partnered with OHB on May 12 to propose the versatile space aircraft Vortex-S to the European Space Agency, capable of round trips to orbital stations. Crossing the MA20 is the technical milestone to confirm to validate the exit from the medium-term downward sequence.
Le Rafale a confirmé son succès en 2025, avec la livraison du 300 ème Rafale et la commande de 26 Rafale par la Marine indienne.
Dassault Aviation présente des résultats 2025 conformes à l’évolution attendue: chiffre d’affaires consolidé IFRS de 7 426 millions d’euros, résultat opérationnel consolidé IFRS de 639 millions d’euros, résultat net consolidé IFRS de 977 millions d’euros et marge nette consolidée IFRS de 13,2%. Trésorerie disponible à 9 415 millions d’euros. Carnet de commandes consolidé à 46 596 millions d’euros et ratio book-to-bill de 1,5x. Dividendes proposés de 4,78 euros par action (payout d’environ 35%). Pour 2026, le chiffre d’affaires est anticipé autour de 8,5 milliards d’euros avec 40 Falcon et 28 Rafale prévus.
Risks mentioned
Incertitudes liées aux contextes militaires, géopolitiques et budgétaires, couplés aux droits de douane et à l’incertitude sur le SCAF.
Pression fiscale dégrade la compétitivité de la Société.
Incertitudes liées au droit de douane américain au 1er semestre 2025 et à l’évolution du Make in India.
Opportunities identified
Progression possible grâce au Make in India et à la coopération avec des partenaires indiens (DRAL, Tata Advanced Systems).
Poursuite du développement et de la modernisation des programmes Rafale/Falcon et du SCAF, ARCHANGE et ALBATROS; potentiel d’accroître les exports.
Partenariats pour une IA souveraine et maîtrisée avec AMIAD, Thales (cortAIx) et Harmattan AI.
Outlook / guidance
Expected revenue: 8,5 milliards d'euros (2026)
Management commentary: La prévision pour 2026 prévoit un chiffre d’affaires en hausse par rapport à 2025, à 8,5 milliards d’euros, soutenu par les livraisons prévues de Rafale et Falcon (40 Falcon et 28 Rafale).
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