Edenred Shares Bounce 3% and Cross Their Moving Average
On Tuesday, February 10th, Edenred shares advanced by 3.07% in the morning, reaching 18.12 euros. This rebound occurs in a challenging stock market environment for the meal voucher specialist, which still shows a discount of 41.47% over one year. Investors appear to be repositioning ahead of the annual earnings report scheduled in two weeks.
Today's increase allows the share to cross its 20-day moving average, set at 17.70 euros, signaling an initial improvement after several lackluster sessions. The group now trades above its 50-session moving average, which stands at 18.23 euros, a zone closely monitored by technical traders. The share's RSI is at 50, indicating a balance between buyers and sellers after a period of consolidation. The monthly volatility remains high at 14.58, reflecting the uncertainty surrounding the stock for several months. Bollinger Bands frame the price between 16.82 euros and 18.58 euros, placing the share in the upper part of this range. The next resistance threshold is at 19.05 euros, while the support identified at 17.09 euros has held in recent days.
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Investors' attention is now turned to the upcoming release of the 2025 annual results, scheduled for February 24th. This event follows a year marked by commercial challenges in several key geographies for the group. The revenue for the first quarter of 2026 will be revealed on April 23rd, before the general meeting set for May 7th. Edenred shares are still trading 20% below their 200-day moving average at 22.84 euros, illustrating the persistent market skepticism. The quarterly performance remains negative with a decline of 13.3% over three months. Analysts will particularly scrutinize management comments on product mix evolution and commercial dynamics in emerging markets during the account presentation.
SectorTickets restaurants›Services de traitement des transactions
Context
Period
Period: 3T 2025
Guidance from the release
Edenred confirme la solidité de son modèle économique et réaffirme ses objectifs 2025, visant au moins 10 % de croissance organique de l’EBITDA et un taux de conversion Free-cash-flow/EBITDA supérieur à 70 %.
Croissance organique accélérée au T3 2025 (+8,2 % chiffre d’affaires opérationnel) portée par toutes les lignes de métier, forte dynamique en Amérique latine et amélioration en Europe; Mobilité en croissance à deux chiffres; Solutions complémentaires en repli. Effets de change négatifs et impact réglementaire en Italie (plafonnement commissions) anticipés.
Risks mentioned
Impact négatif attendu de 60 millions d’euros d’EBITDA lié au plafonnement des commissions marchands en Italie
Effets de change défavorables (dépréciation des devises en Amérique latine, notamment réal brésilien et peso mexicain)
Environnement macroéconomique incertain pouvant affecter la consommation et la demande
Opportunities identified
Hausses des valeurs faciales des titres-restaurant dans plusieurs pays (ex. Belgique +25% à partir du 1er janvier 2026) soutenant la croissance organique
Partenariats stratégiques (Visa, Esso, grand distributeur de carburant) renforçant l’offre et l’accès au marché
Déploiement des solutions Beyond Food et Beyond Fuel et conquête du segment PME encore sous-pénétré
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