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Edenred Stock: New Midday Gain of 2.81% Following Yesterday's Surge

Edenred stock continues its recovery this Wednesday, October 22, in the middle of the day. The prepaid payment solutions specialist's stock is up 2.81% at 25.62 euros, extending the strong rebound that began the day before. Over the week, the increase now stands at 23.83%, making it one of the best performances in the Paris market.


Edenred Stock: New Midday Gain of 2.81% Following Yesterday's Surge

Current Trading Session

At 13:25, Edenred's stock stands at 25.62 euros, up 2.81% compared to Tuesday's close at 24.92 euros. This new rise follows an exceptional session where the stock had already jumped by nearly 17% to 19%, driven by the publication of quarterly results slightly above market expectations. However, trading volumes remain contained with only 0.19% of the capital having changed hands since the opening of the session. This low capital turnover contrasts with the magnitude of the weekly upward movement of 23.83%. Over a year, the stock's performance remains negative with a decline of 22.97%, reflecting the difficulties the stock has faced in recent months. The current dynamic goes against the overall market trend. While the CAC 40 index is down 0.25% this Wednesday, Edenred shows notable resilience. This decoupling is also reflected in the indicators, with the stock showing a negative beta of -0.12, indicating an evolution independent of the movements of the Paris market.

Reasons Behind the Recovery

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The recovery of the stock is mainly due to the publication on Tuesday of third-quarter business figures deemed satisfactory by investors. These results have allowed the group to dispel some of the concerns about its operational trajectory. Concurrently, Edenred announced the conclusion of a strategic partnership with Visa, strengthening its position in the payment solutions market. This industrial alliance is a positive signal for the group's commercial development. Analysts are adjusting their positions following this rebound. Oddo BHF maintains a positive opinion on the stock while revising its price target down from 35 to 33 euros, reflecting a more cautious approach after the strong recovery of the stock. The consensus among analysts now sets an average target of around 35 euros, suggesting an appreciation potential of nearly 40% from current levels. The anticipated dividend yield is set at 6.57% for 2025 and 7.26% for 2026, attractive levels that support interest in the stock.

Technical Perspective

From a technical standpoint, the stock is now trading above its 50-day moving average, located at 22.51 euros, but still below its 200-day moving average, positioned at 27.29 euros. The RSI indicator reaches 79, a high level indicating an overbought zone and suggesting short-term caution. The MACD displays a positive signal with a trend line at 0.07 and a histogram at 0.36, confirming the resumption of the upward dynamic. The Bollinger Bands frame the stock between 18.82 euros and 22.86 euros, with the current price above the upper boundary. The one-month volatility stands at 19.08, a significant level that illustrates the amplitude of recent movements. The immediate resistance threshold is at 24.92 euros, corresponding to the previous day's close, which was surpassed during the session. The technical support is identified at 19.95 euros, marking the floor of recent weeks.



Sector Tickets restaurants Services de traitement des transactions


Assurance vie

Context

Period
  • Period: 3T 2025
Guidance from the release
  • Edenred confirme la solidité de son modèle économique et réaffirme ses objectifs 2025, visant au moins 10 % de croissance organique de l’EBITDA et un taux de conversion Free-cash-flow/EBITDA supérieur à 70 %.
  • Croissance organique accélérée au T3 2025 (+8,2 % chiffre d’affaires opérationnel) portée par toutes les lignes de métier, forte dynamique en Amérique latine et amélioration en Europe; Mobilité en croissance à deux chiffres; Solutions complémentaires en repli. Effets de change négatifs et impact réglementaire en Italie (plafonnement commissions) anticipés.
Risks mentioned
  • Impact négatif attendu de 60 millions d’euros d’EBITDA lié au plafonnement des commissions marchands en Italie
  • Effets de change défavorables (dépréciation des devises en Amérique latine, notamment réal brésilien et peso mexicain)
  • Environnement macroéconomique incertain pouvant affecter la consommation et la demande
Opportunities identified
  • Hausses des valeurs faciales des titres-restaurant dans plusieurs pays (ex. Belgique +25% à partir du 1er janvier 2026) soutenant la croissance organique
  • Partenariats stratégiques (Visa, Esso, grand distributeur de carburant) renforçant l’offre et l’accès au marché
  • Déploiement des solutions Beyond Food et Beyond Fuel et conquête du segment PME encore sous-pénétré

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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