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Eramet Shares Continue to Fall at Midday, Down 3.02%

Eramet shares have recorded a decrease of 3.02% at midday this Tuesday, December 9, 2025, standing at 49.70 euros compared to 51.25 euros the previous day. The mining group has shown a marked decline over the past week with a negative performance of 7.02%, illustrating persistent selling pressure since the presentation of its recovery plan last week.


Eramet Shares Continue to Fall at Midday, Down 3.02%

Operational Improvement Program Unveiled

Eramet presented its operational improvement program named 'ReSolution' on Thursday, December 4, aiming to improve EBITDA by 130 to 170 million euros within two years. Despite this announcement, the stock has not convinced investors and has been declining over several consecutive sessions. The low liquidity observed this Tuesday, with only 0.08% of the capital traded, reflects a cautious wait-and-see approach by market operators. Over three months, the stock manages to show a slight increase of 1.31%, but remains negative for the year with a decline of 1.58%, while the CAC 40 has recorded an increase of 8.65% over the same period. The context remains challenging for the mining sector. Since January 2023, the prices of Eramet's raw materials have significantly decreased: minus 6% for manganese ore, minus 48% for nickel, minus 83% for lithium carbonate, minus 21% for ilmenite, and minus 25% for zircon. This deterioration in prices directly impacts the valuation of the group and partly explains the structural weakness of the stock over several months. However, Kepler raised its price target to 54 euros on December 3, from 48 euros previously, indicating that some analysts anticipate a medium-term recovery.

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From a technical analysis perspective, the RSI at 38 confirms a relative oversold zone, suggesting that the stock could experience a technical rebound in the short term without necessarily reversing the underlying trend. The 50-day moving average, established at 56.05 euros, is well above the current price and constitutes a major resistance to reclaim for a sustainable bullish reversal. The stock is currently trading above its support threshold at 48.82 euros, a critical level to monitor to avoid an accelerated bearish trend. The 200-day moving average, at 51.91 euros, also remains above the current price, confirming that the stock is trading below its main medium and long-term technical benchmarks. The one-month volatility, measured at 11.09, remains high and reflects the uncertainty weighing on the mining sector as a whole. The Bollinger Bands, with an upper bound at 55.99 euros and a lower bound at 48.75 euros, show that the stock is approaching the lower limit of its fluctuation channel. The negative Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) at minus 0.13 indicates an outflow of capital, a sign of a gradual disengagement by institutional investors amid macroeconomic uncertainties.

Low Beta Indicates Reduced Sensitivity

With a low beta of 0.05, Eramet shows reduced sensitivity to variations in the CAC 40, which partly explains its relative underperformance compared to the Parisian index. This Tuesday, while the CAC 40 loses 0.48% at 8,069.61 points, the mining stock accentuates its decline with a drop three times greater. The group has also announced the implementation of a 'cash boost' program with a one-time impact of 60 to 70 million euros on free cash flow by the end of 2025, in an effort to preserve its financial situation. However, investors remain cautious, watching for concrete signs of operational improvement and a possible stabilization of industrial metal prices. In the immediate future, the downward trajectory of the stock is expected to continue as long as key moving averages are not reclaimed and the macroeconomic context remains unfavorable to the sector.



Sector Métaux et matières premières Métaux non ferreux


Assurance vie

Context

Period
  • Period: 3T 2025
Guidance from the release
  • Malgré un contexte de marché difficile, Eramet a maintenu un niveau d’activité solide, grâce à l’engagement et à l’agilité de ses équipes.
  • Conjoncture macroéconomique incertaine pesant sur la demande et les prix; marchés du manganèse, nickel et lithium globalement en excédent au T3 2025 avec pression sur les prix; perturbations logistiques au Gabon et incertitudes réglementaires en Indonésie.
Risks mentioned
  • Difficultés logistiques sur le réseau ferroviaire gabonais (Transgabonais) affectant le transport du minerai
  • Pression des prix et faible demande macroéconomique
  • Risque de non-respect du covenant de gearing au 31/12/2025 (waiver demandé)
  • Enquête des autorités indonésiennes sur une partie de la concession PT WBN
Opportunities identified
  • Montée en cadence robuste de la production de carbonate de lithium (usine Centenario) — volumes 2 080 t-LCE au T3 2025, objectif 4 - 7 kt-LCE en 2025
  • Rebond des volumes et chiffre d’affaires de PT WBN (forte progression des ventes externes de minerai de nickel)
  • Programme d’amélioration de la performance opérationnelle et financière (cash boost, optimisation capex, réduction coûts)
  • Ajustement du plan de capex pour préserver trésorerie (capex 2025 entre 400 M€ et 425 M€)

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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