Eramet Shares Drop 4% and Move Towards Its Support at 47.18 Euros
On Thursday, the mining and metallurgical group's stock significantly declined, recording a 4% drop to 49.20 euros during the session. This decrease amplifies an unfavorable trend that has been ongoing for several weeks, with the stock now showing a decline of more than 28% over three months.
In mid-morning trading, Eramet has fallen 4% to 49.20 euros, after closing the previous day at 51.25 euros. Over the past week, the stock has shown a decline of 5.57%, confirming the downward trend that has prevailed since the beginning of the year. The mining group operates in a tense market environment: the CAC 40 is down by 0.72% during the session, at 8,204.70 points, while the SBF 120 has lost 0.68%. The market tension remains high, with the VIX standing at 25.78 points in its last quote. The basic materials sector suffers more broadly this Thursday. Among comparable stocks, Aperam has lost 2.14% and Imerys has fallen by 0.85%, although to a lesser extent than the New Caledonian group. Eramet's next financial appointment, scheduled for April 23 with the publication of the first quarter 2026 revenue, will focus attention on the group's commercial trajectory in an environment of pressured metal prices.
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Technically, Eramet's stock price is significantly below its 50-day (57.81 euros) and 200-day (55.92 euros) moving averages, a gap that indicates a prolonged weakening of the trend. The stock is trading in the lower part of its Bollinger bands, at 32% of the band, close to the lower boundary set at 46.35 euros, while the upper boundary is at 55.29 euros. This configuration signals a marked bearish pressure, although the stock is not yet in a characterized oversold situation. The nearest support threshold is at 47.18 euros, just 4% below the current price. Crossing this level could pave the way for a deeper decline. The RSI, at 44, remains below the neutrality zone but has not yet reached the extreme levels that usually accompany a technical reversal. The major resistance, at 63.15 euros, appears distant by nearly 28% from the current price, illustrating the magnitude of the path required for a potential recovery.
SectorMétaux et matières premières›Métaux non ferreux
Context
Period
Period: 3T 2025
Guidance from the release
Malgré un contexte de marché difficile, Eramet a maintenu un niveau d’activité solide, grâce à l’engagement et à l’agilité de ses équipes.
Conjoncture macroéconomique incertaine pesant sur la demande et les prix; marchés du manganèse, nickel et lithium globalement en excédent au T3 2025 avec pression sur les prix; perturbations logistiques au Gabon et incertitudes réglementaires en Indonésie.
Risks mentioned
Difficultés logistiques sur le réseau ferroviaire gabonais (Transgabonais) affectant le transport du minerai
Pression des prix et faible demande macroéconomique
Risque de non-respect du covenant de gearing au 31/12/2025 (waiver demandé)
Enquête des autorités indonésiennes sur une partie de la concession PT WBN
Opportunities identified
Montée en cadence robuste de la production de carbonate de lithium (usine Centenario) — volumes 2 080 t-LCE au T3 2025, objectif 4 - 7 kt-LCE en 2025
Rebond des volumes et chiffre d’affaires de PT WBN (forte progression des ventes externes de minerai de nickel)
Programme d’amélioration de la performance opérationnelle et financière (cash boost, optimisation capex, réduction coûts)
Ajustement du plan de capex pour préserver trésorerie (capex 2025 entre 400 M€ et 425 M€)
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