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Eramet Shares Drop 5.57% at Close in an Otherwise Positive Market

Eramet, a mining and metallurgical group, experienced a significant correction on Thursday, November 20, dropping 5.57% to close at 51.75 euros, while the CAC 40 gained 0.34%. With a trading volume representing 0.15% of the capital, the decline is part of a broader negative trend, with the stock down 2.08% over the week and 4.34% over the year.


Eramet Shares Drop 5.57% at Close in an Otherwise Positive Market

Challenging Trading Session for Eramet

The trading session on Thursday, November 20, was particularly challenging for Eramet. After opening at 55.45 euros, the stock progressively fell to a low of 52.20 euros before closing at 51.75 euros. This decline of 3.05 euros represents a 5.57% discount compared to the previous day's close of 54.80 euros. This drop occurred while the CAC 40 index advanced by 0.34% to 7,981.07 points, marking a clear decoupling between the stock and its reference market. However, trading volumes remained limited with only 0.15% of the capital changing hands. Over a longer period, Eramet shows a significantly degraded performance, with a decline of 2.08% over seven days and nearly stable over three months with a slight decrease of 0.58%. Over a year, the correction reaches 4.34%, underperforming by nearly 15 points compared to the CAC 40, which has gained 10.39% over the same period. This downward dynamic places the closing price below the technical support threshold identified at 52.70 euros, reinforcing the warning signals.

Technical Indicators Confirm Selling Pressure

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Technical indicators confirm the selling pressure currently exerted on the stock. The RSI is at 25, a level significantly below the oversold threshold of 30, suggesting a situation where sellers dominate but a technical rebound could materialize in the short term. This weakness in the RSI indicates a marked exhaustion of the stock after several weeks of correction. The price is now significantly below its 50-day moving average, positioned at 56.26 euros, representing a gap of nearly 8.7%, while it is just under its 200-day moving average at 52.12 euros. This configuration reflects a well-established medium-term bearish trend. The analysis of the MACD confirms this negative dynamic with a MACD line at -1.20, below its signal line at -1.17, represented by a negative histogram of -0.03. This setup indicates that the bearish momentum remains active, even if the gap is narrowing slightly. The Bollinger Bands, with an upper bound at 61.71 euros and a lower bound at 50.53 euros, show that the stock is moving in the lower part of its volatility channel, close to the lower limit.

Fundamental Challenges for the Mining Group

The mining group is going through a delicate period on a fundamental level. Last September, the rating agencies Moody's and Fitch downgraded Eramet's long-term credit ratings from Ba3 to B1 and from BB to BB-, respectively, with negative outlooks, reflecting operational difficulties and tensions on the balance sheet. The third-quarter 2025 revenue, published at the end of October, revealed a 10% decline to 720 million euros, penalized by negative price effects despite an increase in volumes. In this context, the weakness of the stock this Thursday could be explained by general pressure on mining stocks related to metals, combined with persistent investor concern about the financial trajectory of the group. The precarious technical positioning, with a price breaking below the support at 52.70 euros, could also have triggered automatic sales. The resistance at 65.80 euros remains distant, indicating the path to be traveled to reverse the trend.



Sector Métaux et matières premières Métaux non ferreux


Assurance vie

Context

Period
  • Period: 3T 2025
Guidance from the release
  • Malgré un contexte de marché difficile, Eramet a maintenu un niveau d’activité solide, grâce à l’engagement et à l’agilité de ses équipes.
  • Conjoncture macroéconomique incertaine pesant sur la demande et les prix; marchés du manganèse, nickel et lithium globalement en excédent au T3 2025 avec pression sur les prix; perturbations logistiques au Gabon et incertitudes réglementaires en Indonésie.
Risks mentioned
  • Difficultés logistiques sur le réseau ferroviaire gabonais (Transgabonais) affectant le transport du minerai
  • Pression des prix et faible demande macroéconomique
  • Risque de non-respect du covenant de gearing au 31/12/2025 (waiver demandé)
  • Enquête des autorités indonésiennes sur une partie de la concession PT WBN
Opportunities identified
  • Montée en cadence robuste de la production de carbonate de lithium (usine Centenario) — volumes 2 080 t-LCE au T3 2025, objectif 4 - 7 kt-LCE en 2025
  • Rebond des volumes et chiffre d’affaires de PT WBN (forte progression des ventes externes de minerai de nickel)
  • Programme d’amélioration de la performance opérationnelle et financière (cash boost, optimisation capex, réduction coûts)
  • Ajustement du plan de capex pour préserver trésorerie (capex 2025 entre 400 M€ et 425 M€)

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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