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Eramet Shares Gain 5.3% Midday on Technical Rebound

Eramet's stock price increased by 5.3% at midday on Monday, December 22, 2025, reaching 53.65 euros from 50.95 euros at the previous close. This technical rebound follows several weeks of significant volatility, with the mining group surpassing its 200-day moving average positioned at 51.56 euros. Trading volumes remain moderate at 0.24% of capital traded, reflecting ongoing investor caution in a sector still facing the structural weakness of industrial metal prices. Over seven days, the stock now shows a gain of 0.19%, with a three-month performance of 4.28%. Over one year, the increase is 4.07%, reflecting the challenges of a mining sector penalized by the collapse in nickel and lithium prices.


Eramet Shares Gain 5.3% Midday on Technical Rebound

Midday Performance and Technical Indicators

At midday, Eramet's stock has risen by 5.3% to 53.65 euros, thus crossing its 200-day moving average at 51.56 euros, a major technical threshold that serves as a medium-term support. The price is now close to its 50-day moving average at 54.72 euros, which represents the next resistance level to break through to confirm a lasting upward trend. From a technical analysis perspective, the RSI is at 43, a neutral level suggesting no overheating and leaving room for continued movement. The MACD shows a slightly negative setup with a histogram at minus 0.02, resulting from a MACD line at minus 0.90 slightly below the signal line at minus 0.88, indicating still fragile momentum despite today's rebound. Bollinger Bands frame the price between 47.98 euros in support and 54.20 euros in resistance, placing the stock in the upper part of its one-month volatility channel of 12.93%. The Chaikin Money Flow shows a positive capital inflow at 0.13, confirming a renewed interest from institutional investors. This technical recovery comes after a period of marked volatility in mid-December, where the stock had plunged by 6.74% on December 15 before rebounding by 4.13% on December 17. The major support threshold at 47.50 euros was successfully defended, paving the way for a stabilization phase. With a beta of 0.41, Eramet shows moderate sensitivity to fluctuations in the CAC 40, partly explaining its trajectory decoupled from the Parisian index.

Challenges in a Difficult Macroeconomic Environment

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The mining group remains penalized by a challenging macroeconomic environment, characterized by a persistent decline in commodity prices since the beginning of 2023. In early December, the group introduced its 'ReSolution' program, aiming to improve EBITDA by 130 to 170 million euros within two years through productivity gains and cost optimization, but the announcement has not been enough to convincingly reassure investors. The sectoral context remains complicated with a macroeconomic situation that weighs on the group's end markets, particularly the steel industry in China. Manganese activities in Gabon and nickel operations in Indonesia face operational and regulatory constraints, while the lithium project in Argentina, despite having started its first sales of carbonate, still needs to demonstrate profitability in a sharply declining lithium market. In the medium term, the stock's trajectory will depend on its ability to meet its volume and cash cost targets for 2025, as well as the evolution of industrial metal prices.



Sector Métaux et matières premières Métaux non ferreux


Assurance vie

Context

Period
  • Period: 3T 2025
Guidance from the release
  • Malgré un contexte de marché difficile, Eramet a maintenu un niveau d’activité solide, grâce à l’engagement et à l’agilité de ses équipes.
  • Conjoncture macroéconomique incertaine pesant sur la demande et les prix; marchés du manganèse, nickel et lithium globalement en excédent au T3 2025 avec pression sur les prix; perturbations logistiques au Gabon et incertitudes réglementaires en Indonésie.
Risks mentioned
  • Difficultés logistiques sur le réseau ferroviaire gabonais (Transgabonais) affectant le transport du minerai
  • Pression des prix et faible demande macroéconomique
  • Risque de non-respect du covenant de gearing au 31/12/2025 (waiver demandé)
  • Enquête des autorités indonésiennes sur une partie de la concession PT WBN
Opportunities identified
  • Montée en cadence robuste de la production de carbonate de lithium (usine Centenario) — volumes 2 080 t-LCE au T3 2025, objectif 4 - 7 kt-LCE en 2025
  • Rebond des volumes et chiffre d’affaires de PT WBN (forte progression des ventes externes de minerai de nickel)
  • Programme d’amélioration de la performance opérationnelle et financière (cash boost, optimisation capex, réduction coûts)
  • Ajustement du plan de capex pour préserver trésorerie (capex 2025 entre 400 M€ et 425 M€)

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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