Eramet Shares Pause at €78.80 After a 30% Rise Over Three Months
Eramet shares ended the session on Wednesday, January 28, 2026, at €78.80, up slightly by 0.32% at the close. The French company has shown strong short-term momentum with a gain of 30.57% over three months and 44.45% over twelve months. The situation continues to be characterized by high monthly volatility of 19.38.
Eramet's share price is now significantly above its 20-day moving average, set at €74.50, confirming a recent upward momentum. The weekly gain stands at 1.29%, while the quarterly appreciation exceeds 30%, indicating a marked rebound since the fall. Over a year, the increase reaches 44.45%, enhancing the attractiveness of the stock in a favorable mining context. However, the 14-day RSI shows a value of 61, positioning the indicator in the high zone without yet being in overbought territory. This reading suggests that the bullish movement remains technically viable, although caution is advised in the short term due to the high monthly volatility of 19.38, which reflects significant fluctuations around the underlying trend.
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On January 27, Portzamparc raised its price target from €48 to €58, while maintaining a 'reduce' recommendation. This adjustment reflects the recent performance of the stock but suggests a potential downside of 26% compared to the current price of €78.80. Meanwhile, Oddo BHF maintains an even more defensive stance with a target set at €47 since December and an 'underperform' rating, implying a downside risk of around 40%. These cautious positions from analysts contrast with the recent stock market rally, highlighting divergent valuations of Eramet in a volatile commodity market environment.
SectorMétaux et matières premières›Métaux non ferreux
Context
Period
Period: 3T 2025
Guidance from the release
Malgré un contexte de marché difficile, Eramet a maintenu un niveau d’activité solide, grâce à l’engagement et à l’agilité de ses équipes.
Conjoncture macroéconomique incertaine pesant sur la demande et les prix; marchés du manganèse, nickel et lithium globalement en excédent au T3 2025 avec pression sur les prix; perturbations logistiques au Gabon et incertitudes réglementaires en Indonésie.
Risks mentioned
Difficultés logistiques sur le réseau ferroviaire gabonais (Transgabonais) affectant le transport du minerai
Pression des prix et faible demande macroéconomique
Risque de non-respect du covenant de gearing au 31/12/2025 (waiver demandé)
Enquête des autorités indonésiennes sur une partie de la concession PT WBN
Opportunities identified
Montée en cadence robuste de la production de carbonate de lithium (usine Centenario) — volumes 2 080 t-LCE au T3 2025, objectif 4 - 7 kt-LCE en 2025
Rebond des volumes et chiffre d’affaires de PT WBN (forte progression des ventes externes de minerai de nickel)
Programme d’amélioration de la performance opérationnelle et financière (cash boost, optimisation capex, réduction coûts)
Ajustement du plan de capex pour préserver trésorerie (capex 2025 entre 400 M€ et 425 M€)
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