Eramet Shares Plunge 10% in a Week Following Analyst Downgrade
Eramet's stock continues its slide this Friday, March 13, losing 2.8% to €52.15 in mid-session trading in Paris. The day before, Alphavalue lowered its recommendation and price target on the mining group. Over the week, the decline now exceeds 10%.
On Thursday, March 12, the analysis firm Alphavalue changed its opinion on Eramet, shifting from a 'buy' to 'accumulate' recommendation. At the same time, the price target was reduced from €76.60 to €65.60, still representing a potential revaluation of about 26% compared to the current price of €52.15. This change accompanies a difficult period for the stock: Eramet has lost more than 10% in seven days and shows a decline of nearly 11% over the year. The next key date that might provide new insights to the markets is set for April 23, when the group will publish its first quarter 2026 revenue. Meanwhile, the CAC 40 is stable during the session, around 7,984 points, while the SBF 120 is down 0.01%. Eramet's underperformance is thus clearly decoupled from the general trend of the Paris market this Friday.
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From a technical standpoint, Eramet's share price is now trading well below its 50-day moving average, set at €66.16, and has just fallen below its 200-day moving average (€55.71). This double downward crossover indicates a deterioration in the medium-term dynamics: the stock, which was still trading above these two benchmarks at the beginning of February, has rapidly moved away from them in recent sessions. The nearest technical support is located at €46.10, approximately 12% below current levels, while major resistance is at €76.20. Monthly volatility remains high, at 34.75, reflecting the extent of recent fluctuations. The RSI indicator, at 57, does not yet signal an oversold condition, suggesting the possibility of a continued downward movement before any potential technical rebound occurs.
SectorMétaux et matières premières›Métaux non ferreux
Context
Period
Period: 3T 2025
Guidance from the release
Malgré un contexte de marché difficile, Eramet a maintenu un niveau d’activité solide, grâce à l’engagement et à l’agilité de ses équipes.
Conjoncture macroéconomique incertaine pesant sur la demande et les prix; marchés du manganèse, nickel et lithium globalement en excédent au T3 2025 avec pression sur les prix; perturbations logistiques au Gabon et incertitudes réglementaires en Indonésie.
Risks mentioned
Difficultés logistiques sur le réseau ferroviaire gabonais (Transgabonais) affectant le transport du minerai
Pression des prix et faible demande macroéconomique
Risque de non-respect du covenant de gearing au 31/12/2025 (waiver demandé)
Enquête des autorités indonésiennes sur une partie de la concession PT WBN
Opportunities identified
Montée en cadence robuste de la production de carbonate de lithium (usine Centenario) — volumes 2 080 t-LCE au T3 2025, objectif 4 - 7 kt-LCE en 2025
Rebond des volumes et chiffre d’affaires de PT WBN (forte progression des ventes externes de minerai de nickel)
Programme d’amélioration de la performance opérationnelle et financière (cash boost, optimisation capex, réduction coûts)
Ajustement du plan de capex pour préserver trésorerie (capex 2025 entre 400 M€ et 425 M€)
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