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Eramet Shares Plunge 6.74% by Midday Monday, December 15

Eramet's stock has experienced a significant drop of 6.74% by midday on Monday, December 15, 2025, marking a sharp contrast to its previous session's modest gains.


Eramet Shares Plunge 6.74% by Midday Monday, December 15

Current Trading Session Overview

As of midday this Monday, December 15, 2025, Eramet's shares have fallen by 6.74%, reaching 49.94 euros from 53.55 euros the previous day. Despite a slight decline of 0.09% in the previous session, this new drop erases the modest gains recorded last Friday. Trading volumes remain low with only 0.16% of capital traded, indicating ongoing caution among traders. Over the past week, the stock has now decreased by 2.37%, while its three-month performance remains slightly positive at 4.09%. Over the past year, the decline has intensified with a loss of 5.69%, highlighting a persistent structural weakness despite the group's early December recovery efforts. This trajectory sharply contrasts with the resilience of the CAC 40 and reflects Eramet's direct exposure to the ongoing weakness in industrial metal prices. Oddo BHF's recent upgrade of its price target from 44 to 47 euros on December 9, while maintaining an 'underperform' rating, underscores the prevailing skepticism about the stock despite management initiatives.

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Technically, the RSI stands at 69, indicating a zone of relative overbought following last week's rebound. This suggests that a short-term bullish momentum exhaustion was expected. The stock is now just below its 200-day moving average of 51.79 euros, losing a major support regained last Friday. The 50-day moving average, at 55.68 euros, remains distant and poses a medium-term resistance that needs to be overcome for a lasting reversal. The MACD shows an intermediate configuration with a positive histogram at 0.34, indicating a still-present but fragile bullish divergence. This setup could quickly reverse if selling pressure continues in the upcoming sessions. Bollinger Bands frame the price between 48.51 euros in support and 55.44 euros in resistance, placing the stock in the lower half of its volatility channel. The one-month volatility stands at 11.45%, a relatively high level reflecting ongoing uncertainty in the mining sector. The Chaikin Money Flow indicates a slight capital outflow at minus 0.02, confirming institutional investors' caution.

Broader Sector Challenges and Outlook

This Monday's decline continues the trend of a challenging environment for the mining and metallurgical sector. Announcements of the 'ReSolution' plan in early December, aiming to improve Ebitda by 130 to 170 million euros within two years, have not been sufficient to sustain investor confidence. The group is focusing on productivity gains and cost optimization to offset the weakness in raw material prices, but the market remains skeptical about the group's ability to generate value in a deteriorated macroeconomic context. With a beta of 0.13, Eramet shows limited sensitivity to fluctuations in the CAC 40, partly explaining its trajectory decoupled from the Parisian index. The Scholes indicator currently generates a neutral signal, indicating a lack of clear short-term trend. The future trajectory of the stock will depend on its ability to stabilize its price above the support threshold of 48.82 euros and, more importantly, on the evolution of industrial metal prices, which remain the main determinant of the group's valuation in a still-pressured sector.



Sector Métaux et matières premières Métaux non ferreux


Assurance vie

Context

Period
  • Period: 3T 2025
Guidance from the release
  • Malgré un contexte de marché difficile, Eramet a maintenu un niveau d’activité solide, grâce à l’engagement et à l’agilité de ses équipes.
  • Conjoncture macroéconomique incertaine pesant sur la demande et les prix; marchés du manganèse, nickel et lithium globalement en excédent au T3 2025 avec pression sur les prix; perturbations logistiques au Gabon et incertitudes réglementaires en Indonésie.
Risks mentioned
  • Difficultés logistiques sur le réseau ferroviaire gabonais (Transgabonais) affectant le transport du minerai
  • Pression des prix et faible demande macroéconomique
  • Risque de non-respect du covenant de gearing au 31/12/2025 (waiver demandé)
  • Enquête des autorités indonésiennes sur une partie de la concession PT WBN
Opportunities identified
  • Montée en cadence robuste de la production de carbonate de lithium (usine Centenario) — volumes 2 080 t-LCE au T3 2025, objectif 4 - 7 kt-LCE en 2025
  • Rebond des volumes et chiffre d’affaires de PT WBN (forte progression des ventes externes de minerai de nickel)
  • Programme d’amélioration de la performance opérationnelle et financière (cash boost, optimisation capex, réduction coûts)
  • Ajustement du plan de capex pour préserver trésorerie (capex 2025 entre 400 M€ et 425 M€)

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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