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Eramet's Stock Jumps Nearly 4% at Close, Approaching Its Moving Average

The stock of the French mining group Eramet gained 3.96% during the trading session on Friday, December 12, 2025, closing at 53.80 euros. This increase comes in a context of weekly consolidation, with the stock showing a gain of 6.54% over seven days and 16.25% over three months, while remaining slightly negative over the year with a decline of 1.74%.


Eramet's Stock Jumps Nearly 4% at Close, Approaching Its Moving Average

Market Performance and Investor Participation

At the close, Eramet's stock displayed a 3.96% increase compared to the previous day, finishing at 53.80 euros versus 51.75 euros on Thursday. Trading volumes remained moderate with only 0.18% of the capital traded during the day, indicating measured investor participation. The stock is now moving in a constructive weekly dynamic with a 6.54% gain over seven days. Over a three-month horizon, the performance reaches 16.25%, signaling a notable improvement since the announcement of the 'ReSolution' recovery plan in early December. The price remains above its technical support threshold at 48.82 euros, while still distant from the major resistance located at 59.40 euros. This evolution contrasts with the annual performance that remains slightly negative at minus 1.74%, revealing the structural difficulties of the mining sector facing the collapse of raw material prices. Since January 2023, manganese ore has lost 6%, nickel 48%, lithium carbonate 83%, ilmenite 21%, and zircon 25%. On December 9, Oddo BHF raised its price target from 44 euros to 47 euros, while maintaining an 'underperform' recommendation, illustrating the persistent skepticism of analysts despite recovery efforts.

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From a technical analysis standpoint, the RSI is at 64, a level that indicates a return of buyer interest without yet being in an overbought zone. This indicator confirms the short-term bullish momentum observed over the past week. The stock is now trading above its 200-day moving average set at 51.83 euros, a positive medium-term signal, but remains below the 50-day moving average at 55.76 euros. This intermediate positioning suggests that the stock is in a phase of technical reconquest, needing to surpass this key marker to validate a lasting turnaround. The MACD shows an encouraging setup with a positive histogram at 0.18, resulting from a MACD line at minus 1.20 slightly above the signal line at minus 1.38. This modest bullish divergence suggests the beginning of a momentum reversal after several weeks of correction. Bollinger Bands frame the price between 48.44 euros in support and 55.61 euros in resistance, placing the stock in the median part of its volatility channel. The one-month volatility stands at 10.84%, a contained level indicating a relative stabilization after the turbulence of October and November.

Strategic Initiatives and Market Outlook

The group announced on December 4 the launch of the 'ReSolution' program, aiming for an improvement in Ebitda of 130 to 170 million euros within two years. A 'cash boost' program with a one-time impact of 60 to 70 million euros on free cash flow by the end of 2025 was also specified. These measures aim to offset the persistent deterioration of raw material markets and to improve cash generation in an unfavorable macroeconomic environment. The positive Chaikin Money Flow at 0.02 indicates a slight return of incoming flows, a sign of cautious renewed interest from investors after several months of disinvestment. With a low beta of 0.38, Eramet shows reduced sensitivity to variations in the CAC 40, partly explaining its decorrelation with the Parisian index. The Scholes indicator currently generates a buy signal, consistent with the observed rebound and the gradual reconquest of key technical levels. In the short term, the trajectory of the stock will depend on its ability to durably surpass the 50-day moving average and on the evolution of industrial metal prices, which remain the main determinant of the group's valuation in an always uncertain sectoral context.



Sector Métaux et matières premières Métaux non ferreux


Assurance vie

Context

Period
  • Period: 3T 2025
Guidance from the release
  • Malgré un contexte de marché difficile, Eramet a maintenu un niveau d’activité solide, grâce à l’engagement et à l’agilité de ses équipes.
  • Conjoncture macroéconomique incertaine pesant sur la demande et les prix; marchés du manganèse, nickel et lithium globalement en excédent au T3 2025 avec pression sur les prix; perturbations logistiques au Gabon et incertitudes réglementaires en Indonésie.
Risks mentioned
  • Difficultés logistiques sur le réseau ferroviaire gabonais (Transgabonais) affectant le transport du minerai
  • Pression des prix et faible demande macroéconomique
  • Risque de non-respect du covenant de gearing au 31/12/2025 (waiver demandé)
  • Enquête des autorités indonésiennes sur une partie de la concession PT WBN
Opportunities identified
  • Montée en cadence robuste de la production de carbonate de lithium (usine Centenario) — volumes 2 080 t-LCE au T3 2025, objectif 4 - 7 kt-LCE en 2025
  • Rebond des volumes et chiffre d’affaires de PT WBN (forte progression des ventes externes de minerai de nickel)
  • Programme d’amélioration de la performance opérationnelle et financière (cash boost, optimisation capex, réduction coûts)
  • Ajustement du plan de capex pour préserver trésorerie (capex 2025 entre 400 M€ et 425 M€)

The information presented in this article is provided for informational purposes only and does not constitute an investment recommendation, an incentive to buy or sell a financial asset, or investment advice. Readers are invited to conduct their own research before making any decision.

Investments in the stock market involve risks, including the risk of capital loss. Past performance of an asset or market is no guarantee of future results. Any investment decision should be made taking into account your personal financial situation, objectives and risk tolerance.

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