FDJ United Shares Drop 2.73% After Reaching Annual High of €26.58
The FDJ UNITED stock exhibits multiple simultaneous technical signals, presenting a mixed interpretation: a yearly high and a resistance break recorded on Thursday, followed by a sharp decline during Friday's session. The combination of these partially contradicting indicators warrants a comprehensive analysis.
On Thursday, March 12, the stock reached an annual peak at €26.58, breaking through the resistance at €25.92 as noted in our previous brief. These two indicators, the resistance break and the yearly high, aligned and marked an 11.59% increase over three months. On Friday, the momentum reversed. During the session, the stock fell by 2.73% to €25.62, erasing some of the gains and dropping below the now-watchful resistance level. The RSI, having crossed into the overbought zone during the recent rise, fell back to 61, below the threshold of 70: this reversion from the overbought zone diverges from the previous day's bullish signal and indicates a normalization of momentum dynamics. The 50-day moving average stands at €23.71, significantly below the current prices, while the 200-day moving average at €26.79 now serves as an immediate reference level. Over the year, the stock still shows a decline of 16.33%.
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On Friday, March 13, JP Morgan updated its recommendation on FDJ UNITED. The bank maintains an underweight rating and lowers its price target from €22.50 to €22.00. This target is significantly below the current market levels. The financial calendar schedules the publication of the first quarter 2026 results on April 21, followed by the annual general meeting on April 22, a dividend detachment on April 28, and its payment on April 30.
SectorLoisirs / sport · Jeux d'argent / casinos›Casinos et jeux d'argent
Context
Period
Period: 9M 2025
Guidance from the release
L’évolution du chiffre d’affaires à fin septembre reflète le recul des paris et jeux en ligne sur certains marchés et l’impact de l’augmentation de la fiscalité sur les jeux ; le Groupe approfondit son plan de transformation et de performance dès 2025.
9M 2025 : CA publié 2 730 M€ (+30,2 % publié) ; à données retraitées -2,1 % en raison notamment de l’intégration Kindred et des hausses de fiscalité. T3 2025 : CA 864 M€ (-3,0 % à données retraitées). PBJ et PNJ en léger retrait ; impacts fiscaux (21 M€ au T3, dont 18 M€ en France) et durcissement réglementaire aux Pays-Bas et au Royaume?Uni affectent la BU Paris et jeux en ligne. Objectifs 2025 précisés : CA > 3,7 Mds€, EBITDA courant ~900 M€, marge EBITDA > 24 %.
Risks mentioned
Augmentation de la fiscalité sur les jeux (France, Pays-Bas, Roumanie) impactant le chiffre d’affaires
Durcissement réglementaire aux Pays-Bas et au Royaume?Uni
Résultats sportifs défavorables affectant les paris sportifs
Intégration / périmètre post-acquisition (Kindred) et comparables retraités
Opportunities identified
Déploiement des plateformes propriétaires (KSP) et migrations terminées au Royaume?Uni
Lancements commerciaux (32Red en Roumanie, relancement d’Otto Casino en Suède) et nouveau jackpot trans-marchés
Plan de performance 2025-2028 visant à réduire les coûts
Politique de dividende attractive avec distribution d’au moins 75 % du résultat net ajusté
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