FDJ United Shares Rise 2.5% Midday Despite Downward Revisions
At midday on Wednesday, February 4, 2026, FDJ United recorded a gain of 2.52% to 22.78 euros, after closing at 22.22 euros the previous day. This increase comes despite the stock suffering a loss of 37.45% over one year and 9.24% over three months, significantly below its 200-day moving average of 27.79 euros.
The online gaming and sports betting specialist has received mixed evaluations from analysis firms. Deutsche Bank slightly lowered its price target on January 23, from 31.80 euros to 31.40 euros, while maintaining a buy recommendation. This target still implies a potential upside of 37.9% from the current stock level. Bernstein was considerably more cautious on January 13, drastically reducing its target valuation from 37.50 euros to 25.60 euros, while adopting a neutral 'market perform' stance. This revised target now suggests a limited appreciation potential of 12.4% from Wednesday's prices. This downgrade reflects a significant reassessment of the group's prospects by the analyst.
Technical Weakness in FDJ United's Stock
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From a technical standpoint, FDJ United is in a zone of fragility. The stock is trading slightly below its 50-session moving average of 23.18 euros, confirming an unfavorable short-term trend. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 40, indicating weak momentum without reaching the oversold zone. The breach of the support threshold at 22.22 euros this Wednesday signals an attempt at recovery after touching this technical floor the previous day. However, the stock will need to overcome a resistance at 23.62 euros to confirm a potential rebound. The MACD, with a negative histogram at -0.07, remains unfavorably oriented, indicating a lack of notable bullish momentum. The contained monthly volatility at 5.16% and a very low beta of 0.09 illustrate the stock's relative independence from general market movements.
SectorLoisirs / sport · Jeux d'argent / casinos›Casinos et jeux d'argent
Context
Period
Period: 9M 2025
Guidance from the release
L’évolution du chiffre d’affaires à fin septembre reflète le recul des paris et jeux en ligne sur certains marchés et l’impact de l’augmentation de la fiscalité sur les jeux ; le Groupe approfondit son plan de transformation et de performance dès 2025.
9M 2025 : CA publié 2 730 M€ (+30,2 % publié) ; à données retraitées -2,1 % en raison notamment de l’intégration Kindred et des hausses de fiscalité. T3 2025 : CA 864 M€ (-3,0 % à données retraitées). PBJ et PNJ en léger retrait ; impacts fiscaux (21 M€ au T3, dont 18 M€ en France) et durcissement réglementaire aux Pays-Bas et au Royaume?Uni affectent la BU Paris et jeux en ligne. Objectifs 2025 précisés : CA > 3,7 Mds€, EBITDA courant ~900 M€, marge EBITDA > 24 %.
Risks mentioned
Augmentation de la fiscalité sur les jeux (France, Pays-Bas, Roumanie) impactant le chiffre d’affaires
Durcissement réglementaire aux Pays-Bas et au Royaume?Uni
Résultats sportifs défavorables affectant les paris sportifs
Intégration / périmètre post-acquisition (Kindred) et comparables retraités
Opportunities identified
Déploiement des plateformes propriétaires (KSP) et migrations terminées au Royaume?Uni
Lancements commerciaux (32Red en Roumanie, relancement d’Otto Casino en Suède) et nouveau jackpot trans-marchés
Plan de performance 2025-2028 visant à réduire les coûts
Politique de dividende attractive avec distribution d’au moins 75 % du résultat net ajusté
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